基于多尺度熵的金融时间序列风险分析

S. Nobukawa, T. Sekine, M. Chiba, Teruya Yamanishi, H. Nishimura
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引用次数: 1

摘要

近年来,人们越来越关注金融数据复杂性的时间尺度依赖性。为了评估金融数据的风险,我们对1992年1月7日至2016年6月1日的东证指数时间序列采用多尺度熵分析,该方法可以衡量具有时间尺度依赖性的复杂性。结果表明,在主要财务事件附近,样本熵表现出较高的值,特别是在大尺度因素下。此外,我们根据时间尺度通过K-means对多尺度熵分布进行分类。进一步证实了主要金融事件的多尺度熵分布属于主成分分析中第一分量较大的一类。因此,我们得出结论,多尺度熵是评估金融数据风险的有用工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk Analysis of Financial Time-Series Using Multi-Scale Entropy
Recently, there are growing concerns about the time-scale dependency of complexity in financial data. To evaluate the risk of financial data, we adopt a multi-scale entropy analysis, which can measure complexity with timescale dependency, to time-series of TOPIX during 1/7/1992-6/1/2016. The results confirm that sample entropy exhibits higher value, especially with large-scale factor, near main financial incidents. Furthermore, we classify a multi-scale entropy profile against the time-scale by K-means. Furthermore, we confirm that the multi-scale entropy profile during main financial incidents belongs to the class with larger 1 st component of principal component analysis. Therefore, we conclude that multi-scale entropy is a useful tool for evaluating the risk of financial data.
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