俄罗斯气候变化政策的利益相关者分析

D. Yamawaki
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摘要

在过去的几十年里,气候变化已被认为是一个重要的政策问题,影响着所有大陆和海洋的自然和社会经济系统。为了实现2015年第21次缔约方会议达成的《巴黎协定》“将全球气温上升幅度控制在工业化前水平以上2摄氏度以内”的宏伟目标,最近世界各地都在制定和实施气候变化政策,特别是减少温室气体(GHG)排放的减缓政策。俄罗斯作为世界上最大的能源资源丰富国家和温室气体排放国之一,也一直处于向低碳社会转型的现代化进程中,特别是在2008-2009年全球金融危机发生后。在此背景下,俄罗斯最近签署并批准了将于2016年生效的《巴黎协定》,正式开始制定和实施气候变化政策。然而,俄罗斯的这些政策往往以失败告终。在此背景下,本文首先对俄罗斯的温室气体和大气污染物排放等气候变化现状及其成因进行了梳理,然后对以往关于这一全球专题问题的研究进行了批判性思考。本文通过重新审视俄罗斯气候变化政策的制定和实施过程,并特别关注其多方利益相关者,试图解释这些政策在俄罗斯没有实现的原因,即影响其政策失败的因素。通过一系列的分析,本文可以清楚地看到,自20世纪90年代开始市场转型以来,俄罗斯的环境管理已经被削弱,而政府用于环境目的的支出呈下降趋势。本文还得出,政府委员会的制度安排使俄罗斯油气公司能够进行游说,以反映其在相关政策上的利益。此外,居民和公民社会组织(cso)作为通过社会运动要求政策改革的代表性抗议者之一,对俄罗斯气候变化政策的影响微不足道。本文的结论是,这些因素是俄罗斯气候变化政策的关键命题,以实现其向低碳社会的转型,以及未来可持续增长需要克服的重大挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Stakeholder Analysis of Climate Change Policies in Russia
Climate change has been recognised as an important policy issue that affects nature and socio-economic systems of all continents and oceans over the last few decades. In order to achieve the ambitious goal of ‘keeping a global temperature rise to less than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels’ by the Paris Agreement agreed at COP 21 in 2015, formulation and implementation of climate change policies, especially mitigation ones to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have been recently advanced all over the world. Russia, as one of the largest energy-resource rich countries and GHG emitters, has been also in the process of modernisation towards a low-carbon society, especially after the occurrence of global financial crisis in 2008-2009. Under this circumstance, the formulation and implementation of climate change policies have recently begun in earnest in Russia through its signature on and ratification of the Paris Agreement effective in 2016. These policies in Russia, however, often end in failure. In this context, this present paper firstly clarifies the current situation of climate change and its causes such as GHG and air pollutants emissions in Russia, followed by the critical consideration of previous studies on this global thematic issue. By revisiting the formulation and implementation process of Russian climate change policies with a special focus on its multi-stakeholders, this paper tries to explain why these policies are not materialised in Russia, that is, factors influencing on its policy failure. Throughout a series of analysis, it becomes clear in this paper that Russian environmental administration has been weakened whilst the government spending with environmental purposes on a downward trend in Russia after starting market transition in the 1990s. This paper also derives that institutional arrangements in the governmental committees enable Russian oil and gas companies to do lobbying for reflecting their interests on relevant policies. Besides, it becomes unveiled that residents and civil society organisations (CSOs), as one of representative protesters demanding policy reforms through social movements, have an insignificant influence on climate change policies in the case of Russia. This paper then concludes that these factors are crucial propositions given to Russian climate change policies to materialise its transition towards a low-carbon society as well as big challenges to be overcome for its future sustainable growth.
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