瑞士电力市场的定量分析

G. Caro, J. Cornel, M. Hildmann, D. Daly, Florian Herzog
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引用次数: 7

摘要

2008年,随着《联邦电力供应法案》的通过,瑞士的电力市场开始自由化,但至今仍未完全自由化。由于其相对不成熟,几乎没有集中报道其程式化事实的方式,这是当前工作试图纠正的一种情况。作为指导,我们开发了一个标准的小时价格远期曲线(HPFC)。由于瑞士尚未拥有能源期货的金融指数,因此该模型的实施并不简单。这个问题是通过基于区域特定的风格化事实的定量市场分析来解决的。由此产生的模型还可以深入了解推动瑞士现货价格的自下而上因素的影响,特别是与瑞士相对较高的水力发电份额有关的因素。最后,我们讨论了这种“瑞士制造”的HPFC及其对瑞士市场发展的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A quantitative analysis of the electricity market in Switzerland
The electricity market in Switzerland began liberalisation in 2008, with the passing of the Federal Electricity Supply Act, and is still not fully liberalised. Owing to its relative immaturity, there is little in the way of centralised reporting of its stylised facts, a situation the current work attempts to rectify. As a guideline, a standard Hourly Price Forward Curve (HPFC) is developed. Since Switzerland does not yet boast a financial index for energy Futures, the implementation of this model is not straightforward. This issue is addressed by a quantitative market analysis based on regionally specific stylised facts. The resulting model also yields insights on the influence of bottom-up factors driving Swiss spot prices, in particular with regards to the relatively high share of hydro-power in Switzerland. We conclude with a discussion of this “Swiss-made” HPFC and its implications for the evolution of the Swiss market.
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