欧洲1957年至1979年:从共同市场到欧洲货币体系

J. Halévi
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文论述了1959年至1979年(欧洲货币体系启动之年)席卷欧洲的矛盾动态。它关注的是上世纪60年代走走停停政策的宏观经济框架如何最终以牺牲国内需求为代价,为外部(即欧洲内部)出口提供了特权。这篇论文提供了一个非常试探性的解释,解释了为什么走走停停的政策,通过削弱国内需求,没有像它们应该的那样,更早地结束“长期繁荣”。书中详细讨论了导致戴高乐下台的1968-69年法国危机,以及1969年德国马克名义升值后德国重新推动出口的情况。最后,正如已故的马塞洛·德·切科(Marcello de Cecco)所分析的那样,同年意大利劳工斗争的复兴是在意大利经济结构性弱点的背景下进行的。结论是,欧洲国家既没有政治文化,也没有协调互利政策的制度机制。他们所谓的合作是一种建立霸权的做法,同时捍卫每个国家占主导地位的经济集团的特定利益。然后,本文将EMS的形成作为一种努力建立和加强经济主导地位的表达。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Europe 1957 to 1979: From the Common Market to the European Monetary System
This essay deals with the contradictory dynamics that engulfed Europe from 1959 to 1979, the year of the launching of the European Monetary System. It focuses on how the macroeconomic framework of stop-go policies in the 1960s ended up privileging external – intra-European - exports at the expense of domestic demand. The paper offers a very tentative explanation as to why stop-go policies, by weakening domestic demand, did not put an end to the to the ‘long boom’ earlier as they should have. The French crisis of 1968-69 leading to the demise of De Gaulle is discussed at length, as is the renewal of the German export drive in the wake of a nominal revaluation of the D-Mark in 1969. Finally, the revival of labor struggles in Italy in the same year is put in the context of the structural weaknesses of the Italian economy as analyzed by the late Marcello de Cecco. The conclusion is that European countries had neither the political culture nor the institutional mechanisms to coordinate mutually advantageous policies. Their so-called cooperation was an exercise in establishing hegemony while defending the interests specific to the dominant economic groups of each country. The essay then deals with the formation of the EMS as an expression of efforts to establish and enforce economic dominance.
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