选定的欧洲国家的失业率和GDP增长率

A. Živković
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引用次数: 0

摘要

GDP增长率和失业率是两个至关重要的宏观经济变量,它们的相关性是政策制定者的重要指标,并且经常被分析。本研究旨在分析欧盟创始国、维谢格拉德集团和西巴尔干国家的GDP增长率和失业率,并确定这些变量之间是否存在负相关关系,指出发达国家与发展中国家之间的差异,并表明发展中国家与发达国家的真正趋同。从2010年第一季度到2021年第四季度,数据按季度进行分析,本文的方法包括实证数据分析、描述性统计和每个国家组的面板分析。已获得的结果表明,在所有3个国家组中都存在负相关,但仅在欧盟创始国中具有统计显著性,并且可以承认维谢格拉德集团和西巴尔干国家向发达国家趋同。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AND GDP GROWTH RATE IN SELECTED EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
GDP growth rate and unemployment rate are two crucial macroeconomic variables - their correlation is an important indicator for policymakers and it has been frequently analyzed. This research aims to analyze the GDP growth rate and unemployment rate in EU founders, Visegrad group, and Western Balkan countries and to determine if the negative correlation between these variables exists, to point to differences between developed and developing countries, and to indicate real convergence of developing countries towards developed ones. Data is analyzed on a quarterly level from Q1 2010 to Q4 2021 and the methodology of this paper consists of empirical data analysis, descriptive statistics, and panel analysis for each country group. Obtained results point to a negative correlation in all 3 country groups, but it is statistically significant only in EU founders countries, and the convergence of the Visegrad group and Western Balkan countries towards developed ones can be acknowledged.
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