企业政治关系对分析师预测质量的影响

Tzu-Ching Weng, Kai-Jui Hsu, Yihong He
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摘要

摘要本研究旨在探讨政治关系对分析师预测品质是否有显著影响。参考以往有关分析师信息的文献,特别是将分析师获得的信息区分为公开信息和私人信息,并检查是否会影响分析师预测信息的质量。实证结果表明,具有政治关系的公司与分析师公开信息的准确性存在显著的负相关关系。这表明当公司有政治关系时,公司只愿意向特定的利益相关者披露信息,导致信息不对称。同时,分析师获得的公开信息的准确性相对较低,而有政治关系的公司获得的私人信息的准确性相对较高。JEL分类号:G30, M41。关键词:政治关系,分析师预测质量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Corporate Political Connections on Analyst Forecast Quality
Abstract The purpose of this study is to investigate whether the companies have significant impact of political connections on analyst forecasts quality. Refer to the literature on relevant analyst information in the past, especially distinguish the information obtained by analysts into public information and private information, and check whether it will affect the quality of analysts’ forecast information. Our empirical results show that there is a significant negative correlation between companies with political ties and the accuracy of analysts' public information. It indicates that when companies have political connections, companies are only willing to disclose information to specific stakeholders, resulting in information asymmetry. Meanwhile, the accuracy of public information obtained by analysts is relatively low, while the accuracy of private information is relatively high for the companies with political connections. JEL classification numbers: G30, M41. Keywords: Political Connections, Analyst Forecast Quality.
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