2011-2021年印尼进出口及外债对外汇储备的影响分析

Burhanuddin Isyah Arwangsa, Muhammad Sri Wahyudi Suliswanto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在分析2011-2021年期间出口、进口和外债对印尼外汇储备的同时和部分影响。相关变量为外汇储备,自变量为出口、进口和外债。在本研究中,使用从印度尼西亚BPS (Badan Pusat statistics)和Lokadata获得的时间序列数据形式的辅助数据。数据分析采用经典假设检验(正态性检验、多重共线性检验、异方差检验和自相关检验)、多元线性回归和统计检验(决定系数(R2)检验、t检验和F检验),分析工具为E-Views 9应用程序。偏回归系数分析(t检验)的结果表明,出口变量和外债变量对2011-2021年印尼外汇储备的变量存在正显著的影响,而进口变量对2011-2021年印尼外汇储备的变量没有影响。F检验分析结果表明,2011-2021年出口、进口和外债三个变量对印尼外汇储备变量存在同步或联合显著的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis Of The Effect Of Exports, Imports And Foreign Debt On Indonesian Foreign Exchange Reserves In 2011-2021
This study aims to analyze the effect of exports, imports and foreign debt on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves both simultaneously and partially in the 2011-2021 period. The related variables are foreign exchange reserves and the independent variables are exports, imports and foreign debt. In this study using secondary data in the form of time series data obtained from the Indonesian BPS (Badan Pusat Statistik) and Lokadata. The data analysis used is the classical assumption test (normality test, multicollinearity test, heteroscedasticity test and autocorrelation test), multiple linear regression and statistical tests (test of the coefficient of determination (R2), t test and F test, using the E-Views 9 application as analysis tool. The results of the partial regression coefficient analysis (t test) show that there is a positive and significant effect of the export variable and the foreign debt variable on the variable of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in 2011-2021, while the import variable shows no effect on the variable of Indonesia's foreign exchangereserves in 2011-2021. The results of the F test analysis show that there is a simultaneous or joint and significant effect of the variables of exports, imports and foreign debt on the variable of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in 2011-2021.
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