Star Topology based Interaction for Robust Trajectory Forecasting in Dynamic Scene

Motion prediction of multiple agents in a dynamic scene is a crucial component in many real applications, including intelligent monitoring and autonomous driving. Due to the complex interactions among the agents and their interactions with the surrounding scene, accurate trajectory prediction is still a great challenge. In this paper, we propose a new method for robust trajectory prediction of multiple intelligent agents in a dynamic scene. The input of the method includes the observed trajectories of all agents, and optionally, the planning of the ego-agent and the surrounding high definition map at every time steps. Given observed trajectories, an efficient approach in a star computational topology is utilized to compute both the spatiotemporal interaction features and the current interaction features between the agents, where the time complexity scales linearly to the number of agents. Moreover, on an autonomous vehicle, the proposed prediction method can make use of the planning of ego-agent to improve the modeling of the interaction between surrounding agents. To increase the robustness to upstream perception noises, at the training stage, we randomly mask out the input data, a.k.a. the points on the observed trajectories of agents and the lane sequence. Experiments on autonomous driving and pedestrian-walking datasets demonstrate that the proposed method is not only effective when the planning of ego-agent and the high definition map are provided, but also achieves state-of-the-art performance with only the observed trajectories.