东盟FDI主导增长假说与出口主导增长假说

A. Prasetyo, Mochammad Devis Susandika
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济增长是一个宏观经济变量,一直是政府关注的焦点。这是因为经济增长是一个国家经济表现的指标。如果经济增长高,那么经济发展就会很好,这样人们就会更富裕。本研究旨在检视和分析外商直接投资和出口对东盟经济成长的作用。研究方法采用因果关系面板法,研究期为2010-2020年。本研究中使用的因果关系面板检测了东盟的外国直接投资、出口和经济增长之间的关系。估计结果表明,FDI与经济增长、出口与经济增长之间存在单向关系。因此,FDI带动增长和出口带动增长的假设是可以接受的。给每个国家的建议是,希望东盟区域各国政府将通过放松管制的方式进一步便利外国投资许可,使外国投资者难以进入。与出口有关的建议是,东盟各国政府需要制定潜在和非潜在出口,如果潜在出口增加,而非潜在出口需要创新。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FDI Led Growth Hypothesis and Export Led Growth Hypothesis in ASEAN
Economic growth is a macroeconomic variable that is always the government's attention. This is because economic growth is an indicator of a country's economic performance. If economic growth grows high, then economic development goes well, so that people are more prosperous. This study aims to examine and analyze the role of FDI and exports on economic growth in ASEAN. The research method used is a causality panel with a research period of 2010-2020. The causality panel used in this study detects how the relationship between FDI, exports, and economic growth in ASEAN is. The estimation results show a unidirectional relationship between FDI to economic growth, and exports to economic growth. Therefore, the hypothesis of FDI led growth and export-led growth is acceptable. The recommendation given to each country is that it is hoped that the governments of the ASEAN region will further facilitate foreign investment permits by means of deregulation that makes it difficult for foreign investors. Recommendations related to exports are that the governments of each ASEAN country need to map out potential and non-potential exports, if potential exports are increased, while non-potential ones need to be innovated.
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