医疗决策中的框架效应

Tianshan Li
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摘要

在医疗体系日趋成熟的世纪,干扰患者眼睛的选择也越来越多。框架效应在一个人的决策过程中是有效的,它可以导致患者做出某些选择,误解和随后的武断决定可能会发生。因此,本研究以框架效应为基础,讨论了四个主要因素或效应。人们会根据听到的话语做出偏好。这些“词”包括附在一个事件或物体上的描述性形容词,生存概率等数字描述,以及它是被描述为不确定性还是风险。由于损失厌恶,消极描述会导致冒险行为,而积极描述会导致风险厌恶行为。同时,如果给定的概率水平相当低,患者会转向风险规避,选择保守治疗,更看重生活质量而不是数量。除了数值之外,无论实际概率水平如何,人们对一定风险的不确定性表现出一致的不相信,并会对不确定的选择设定一个主观概率。由于前景理论,健康状态效用也可以作为判断患者状态的另一个指标。总之,不同健康状态的人对医疗结果的期望是不同的。年龄和既往疾病经历是影响患者自身健康状态效用测量的两个主要因素。病人年龄越大,他们的效用就越大。那些有病史的人比那些没有病史的人分配更多的效用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Framing Effect in Medical Decision Making
In the century that the medical system is becoming more and more mature, there are more options interfering patients’ eyes. Framing effect, known to be effective in one’s decision-making process, can lead patients to certain options, misunderstandings and subsequent arbitrary decisions may take place. Therefore, in this study, four main factors, or effects, are discussed based on framing effect. People behave preferences according to words they hear. This ‘words’ include descriptive adjectives attached to one event or object, numerical descriptions like survival probability and whether it is described as an uncertainty or a risk. As a result of loss aversion, a negative description will lead to risk-taking behaviours, while a positive description will lead to risk aversion ones. At the same time, if the given probability level is considerably low, patients will turn to risk aversion and choose conservative treatments, weighing life quality more than quantity. Aside from numeric, people show consistent disbelief upon uncertainty to certain risk no matter the real probability level and will set a subjective probability for uncertain choices. Health state utility can also be another indicator when judging the patients’ state because of the prospect theory. In conclusion, people with different health states put different anticipation on medical results. Ages and prior disease experience are the two main factors influencing the patients’ own measurement of their health state utilities. The older the patients are, the more utility they will assign to. Those who have historical disease assign more utility than those who do not.
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