投入产出模型对尼日利亚经济部门的评估

Dariyem Naandi Kruslat, Salifu Achile Momoh, Isah Muhammed Ozi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究建立了投入产出模型在研究尼日利亚经济中产业相互联系方面的贡献效应,旨在引导资源和政策框架,以建立具有强大的向后和向前联系的产业,从而刺激和刺激工业增长。这些数据来源于国家统计局的生产统计、劳动统计、外贸统计数据库,以及行政、企业和住户调查。整个生产部门按国际工业标准分类,分为13个具有相似特点的部门。所建的表显示,自上次审查以来,系数值在过去几年中发生了变化。有迹象表明,近年来在创新、技术和商业活动方面出现了轻微的积极变化。在整个生产矩阵中不存在负值。影响分析结果表明,水电具有较强的生产关联性,其正向影响跨越了收入、附加值,对就业的直接、间接和诱导影响相对较低。不可否认,它是经济的主要驱动部门之一,而农业、住宿和食品服务、运输和仓储、专业、艺术、行政和公共部门(劳动密集型部门)则处于就业和创收的前沿。制造业对人均收入和就业的贡献较小。这表明,作为世界发达国家发展和创造就业的关键或基础的产业发展仍然落后。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Nigeria’s Economic Sectors Through the Input-Output Model
This study established the contribution effect of the input-output model in studying the interconnectedness of industries in Nigeria’s economy, with the aim of channelling resources and policy framework to building industries with strong backward and forward linkages that can spur and stimulate industrial growth. The data was sourced from the NBS database of production statistics, labour statistics, and foreign trade statistics, as well as administrative, enterprise, and household surveys. The entire productive sector was aggregated into thirteen sectors with similar features and according to international industrial standard classification. The table constructed shows that the coefficient values have changed over the years since the last review. There are indications of slight positive changes in innovation, technology, and business activities that have sprouted up over the years. Furthermore, there were no negative values in the entire production matrix. The results of the impact analysis show that electricity and water have a strong production linkage and their positive impacts cut across income, value-added, and with a relatively lower impact on job creation from direct, indirect, and induced effects. It is undeniably one of the economy's major driving sectors, while agriculture, lodging and food service, transportation and storage, professional, arts, administrative, and public sectors (labour-intensive sectors) are at the forefront of employment and income generation. The manufacturing industry contributes less to per capita income and employment. This is a signal that the nation is still lacking behind in terms of industrial development, which is the key or bedrock of development and employment generation in developed nations of the world.
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