经济地理系统层次与层次的数学与统计建模

A. Cherkashin, A. Myadzelets
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用多层次指示函数的数学建模方法,从纵向(层次)和横向(层次)两个方面研究了俄罗斯地区领土经济地理系统的结构。它将各区域社会经济发展指标联系起来,并考虑到经济地理环境和区域空间层次的特点。在模型计算中,我们使用了1999 - 2018年各地区年度国内投资对工农业产值的依赖数据。投资加速指标的计算值随时间和地区的不同而不同。它们反映了经济地理环境在不同等级水平上的可变性。回归方程的逻辑链在统计学上描述了俄罗斯经济体系的垂直层次结构。线性区域趋势在联邦地区一级形成具有类似社会经济环境规范的群体或一致性。这些一致性形成了全俄的指导面,也就是指导面,体现了区域发展水平和方向的多样性。根据国内投资与产量之间的关系,该结构反映了俄罗斯经济体系在地区、地区和国家层面的层次性,形成了经济增长潜力相似的空间异质性网络。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mathematical and statistical modeling of hierarсhy and heterarchy of economic-geographical systems
The paper considers the structure of territorial economic-geographical system of Russian regions in the vertical (hierarchy) and horizontal (heterarchy) aspects using methods of mathematical modeling of a multilevel indicative function. It connects indicators of socio-economic development of regions and takes into account characteristics of the economic-geographical environment and regional spatial hierarchy. For the model calculations, we use data of dependence of the annual regional domestic in- vestment on the volume of industrial and agricultural production from 1999 to 2018. The calculated values of investment acceleration indicators vary in time and between regions. They reflect the variability of the economic-geographical environment at the different hierarchical levels. A logical chain of regression equations statistically describes the vertical hierarchy of the Russian economic system. Linear regional trends form groups, or congruencies, with similar norms of the socio-economic environment at the federal okrug level. The congruencies shape the all-Russian directive surface, or directress, and demonstrate diversity of the levels and directions of region development. Described in terms of the relationship between domestic investment and production volumes, the structure reflects the hierarchy of the Russian economic system at the regional, okrug and state levels and forms spatial heterarchical network of similarity of economic growth potentials.
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