{"title":"基于COVID-19数据的一类易感-去感染动态干预策略的数据驱动模型预测与最优控制","authors":"Chidentree Treesatayapun","doi":"10.1002/adc2.115","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Adaptive optimal-control and model prediction are proposed for a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics according to the COVID-19 data. From the practical point of view, data sets of COVID-19 pandemics are daily collected and presented in a discrete-time sequence. Therefore, the discrete-time mathematical model of COVID-19 pandemics is formulated in this work. By developing the time-varying transmission rate, the model's accuracy is significantly contributed to the actual data of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the interventional policy is derived by the proposed optimal controller when the closed-loop performance is guaranteed by theoretical aspects and numerical results.</p>","PeriodicalId":100030,"journal":{"name":"Advanced Control for Applications","volume":"4 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/adc2.115","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Data-driven model prediction and optimal control for interventional policy of a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics with COVID-19 data\",\"authors\":\"Chidentree Treesatayapun\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/adc2.115\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Adaptive optimal-control and model prediction are proposed for a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics according to the COVID-19 data. From the practical point of view, data sets of COVID-19 pandemics are daily collected and presented in a discrete-time sequence. Therefore, the discrete-time mathematical model of COVID-19 pandemics is formulated in this work. By developing the time-varying transmission rate, the model's accuracy is significantly contributed to the actual data of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the interventional policy is derived by the proposed optimal controller when the closed-loop performance is guaranteed by theoretical aspects and numerical results.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":100030,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advanced Control for Applications\",\"volume\":\"4 4\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-10-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/adc2.115\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advanced Control for Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/adc2.115\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advanced Control for Applications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/adc2.115","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Data-driven model prediction and optimal control for interventional policy of a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics with COVID-19 data
Adaptive optimal-control and model prediction are proposed for a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics according to the COVID-19 data. From the practical point of view, data sets of COVID-19 pandemics are daily collected and presented in a discrete-time sequence. Therefore, the discrete-time mathematical model of COVID-19 pandemics is formulated in this work. By developing the time-varying transmission rate, the model's accuracy is significantly contributed to the actual data of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the interventional policy is derived by the proposed optimal controller when the closed-loop performance is guaranteed by theoretical aspects and numerical results.