应用专家系统进行营销决策

R. Pejanović, O. Sedlak, Z. Ćirić, L. Grubić-Nešić, S. Mitrovic, Jelica Eremić-Đođić
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文的主要目标是开发一个基于模糊集理论的专家系统,该系统将为营销领域中“生产还是购买”的困境提供更成功和有效的决策。也就是说,作者将尝试开发一种适合于在生产系统中做出营销决策的模型。本文在分析了市场营销理论的方法论基础上,开发了具体的决策模型,从而将所开发的模型应用于生产系统的一个案例。允许对不确定性建模的方法是模糊集理论,它特别适合处理非概率不确定性。作者将开发一个决策模型,基于营销和模糊理论的成功整合。他们将该模型应用于生产系统中一个实际决策问题中“生产还是购买”的决策问题。本文的主要目的是改变营销部门决策者的工作。作者指出了该模型与质量管理相结合的优点,同时也指出了未来研究的局限性和可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Marketing Decision Making by Applying the Expert System
The main goal of this paper is to develop an expert system based on fuzzy set theory that will provide more successful and efficient decision making in the area of marketing, in relation with dilemma “to produce or to purchase”. Namely, authors will try to develop a model that will be suitable for making marketing decisions in production systems. Methodology in the paper obtained analysis of the theory of marketing, the development of the specific model for decision making, so as the application of developed model on one case from production system. Methodology which allows to model indeterminacy is fuzzy sets theory which is particularly well designed for dealing with non-probabilistic uncertainties. Authors will develop a model for decision making, based on successful integration of marketing and fuzzy theories. They will implement the model in decision making problem related to the debate “to produce or to purchase” on one real decision problem in production system. The main goal of this paper is to make changes in the work of decision makers in marketing sector. Authors pointed the advantages of the model with quality management, but also some limitations and possibilities for the future researches.
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