Gompertz曲线和logistic曲线的统一表达式及其离散化

Mitsuhisa Kimura, S. Fujisawa, S. Inoue
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文基于Gompertz和logistic曲线模型的性质,提出了一种离散型的广义增长曲线模型。特别地,将双线性化技术应用于基本微分方程,并将其离散到差分方程中,以保持系统的可积性。这些模型可以通过估计模型中包含的常数参数来预测时间序列数据的未来行为。在数值算例中,我们利用模型对实际数据集进行了分析,并通过自举法给出了估计的增长曲线的置信区间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A unified expression of Gompertz and logistic curves and its discretization
In this study, we newly propose a generalized growth curve model of discrete type, which is based on the property of the Gompertz and logistic curve models. In particular, the bi-linearization technique is applied to the basic differential equation, and we discretize it to the difference equations so as to hold the property of integrable systems. These models can be used to predict the future behavior of the time series data by estimating the constant parameters included in the model. In the numerical examples, we analyze the actual data sets by using our model, and also we show the confidence intervals of the estimated growth curve via the bootstrap method.
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