尽早发现并控制新型病原体!-评估美国医学隔离法在未来流行病检测和预防模式中的应用

April Xiaoyi Xu
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摘要

截至2021年7月2日,全球共有196553009例冠状病毒病(COVID-19)确诊病例,其中4200412例死亡。不幸的是,纵观历史,传染病一直是“生活中不可避免的事实”。虽然国际社会期待COVID-19逐步恢复正常,每天接种疫苗的人数越来越多,但COVID-19公共卫生危机暴露出许多国家(包括美国)在大流行应对方面存在重大不足。管理当局必须积极考虑更有效的解决办法,以迅速发现和防止未来流行病的蔓延。提出的一种具有很大潜力但尚未详细开发的模式是未来的大流行检测和监测架构。本评论将此体系结构称为“测试与隔离模型”。生物化学家David J. Ecker博士在2020年5月发表的《科学美国人》(Scientific American)文章中建议,在美国各地的城市医院战略性地采用现代高速宏基因组测序技术,以便在传染病有机会广泛传播并构成新大流行威胁之前标记出以前未知的病原体。在这种模式下,在没有任何明显流行病的时期(和平时期),美国200家最大的大都会医院将自动对那些因可能具有传染性的严重呼吸道症状而前往急诊室的患者进行新型病原体的预先诊断测试。如果这种系统检测到足够严重的病原体,公共卫生机构将在几周内向受影响地理区域的所有居民发送诊断检测,并隔离检测呈阳性的人。该系统可与接触者追踪和更标准的疫情应对相结合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Catch and Contain Novel Pathogens Early!—Assessing U.S. Medical Isolation Laws as Applied to a Future Pandemic Detection and Prevention Model
As of July 2, 2021, there have been 196,553,009 confirmed cases of the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), including 4,200,412 deaths, globally. Unfortunately, infectious diseases have been an “unavoidable fact of life” throughout history. While the global community looks forward to a gradual return to normalcy from COVID-19 with an increasing number of individuals getting vaccinated on a daily basis, the COVID-19 public health crisis has exposed significant inadequacies in many countries’ pandemic responses—the United States included. Governing authorities must actively consider more effective solutions to quickly detect and prevent the spread of future pandemics. One proposed model that offers promising potential, but is not yet developed in greater detail, is a future pandemic detection and monitoring architecture. This Comment will refer to this architecture as the “test-and-isolate model.” In his May 2020 Scientific American article, biochemist Dr. David J. Ecker recommends strategically placing modern high-speed metagenomic sequencing technology in urban hospitals across the United States to flag previously-unknown pathogens before the infectious agents have the opportunity to spread widely and pose threats of a new pandemic. Under this model, during a time period without any apparent pandemics (peacetime), the 200 biggest metropolitan hospitals in the U.S. would automatically run diagnostic tests upfront for novel causative agents for patients who visit the emergency room with severe respiratory symptoms that are possibly infectious. If such a system detects a sufficiently serious pathogen, public health agencies would send out diagnostic tests to all residents in the affected geographical area(s) within weeks and isolate those who test positive. This system could be integrated with contact tracing and more standard outbreak response.
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