内陆多桥航道船舶交通流仿真模型

Wuxiong Xu, X. Chu, Xinglong Liu
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在内陆多桥水道中,船舶行为受到人、船、环境、管理等多种因素的影响和制约;随着时空的变化,这些行为总是不同的;很难用精确的数学模型来描述这些行为;此外,水上交通不适合用真船进行实验。因此,人们自然认为模拟是一种很好的模拟血管行为的方法。本文提出了内河多桥航道船舶交通的仿真模型。本文的主要内容如下:通过对桥区航道船舶交通流量历史数据的分析,得到船舶交通流量的概率分布模型;采用蒙特卡罗方法建立了船舶生成模型和航路模型;采用Multi-Agent方法建立了船舶智能体的航行行为仿真模型,船舶智能体具有感知、交互和推理能力,服从不同航段的交通规则,能够完成航行过程中的超车、跟随和避障行为。本研究可以定量或直观地分析船舶的行为特征,为航道通行能力、航行风险和组织管理能力的评价提供手段和方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation models of vessel traffic flow in inland multi-bridge waterway
In an inland multi-bridge waterway, vessel behaviors are influenced and restricted by various factors such as people, ships, environment and management etc.; the behaviors are always different with the temporal and spatial change; it is also difficult to use accurate mathematical model to describe the behaviors; and moreover water traffic is not suitable for experiments using real vessels. Hence people naturally think that the simulation is a good method to mimic behaviors of the vessels. This paper puts forward simulation models for simulating vessel traffic in the inland multi-bridge waterway. Main contents of this paper are as follows: probability distribution models of vessel traffic flow are obtained through the analysis of historical data of vessel traffic flow in the bridge area waterway; vessel generation model and route model is setup using the Monte Carlo method; the navigation behavior simulation model is present using the Multi-Agent method and the vessel agents are with the perception, interaction and reasoning ability, obey the traffic rules in different legs, and can finish the overtaking, following and obstacle avoidance behavior during the voyage. This research can quantitatively or visually analyzes behavior characteristics of the vessel, and offer means and methods for the evaluation of channel transit capacity, navigation risk, and organization and management ability.
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