基于Log Pearson III型分布法的印度贾达尔河流域洪水频率分析

Pranamee Gogoi, S. K. Patnaik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

洪水被认为是世界上最广泛和最具灾难性的自然灾害,它对世界洪泛区人民的社会经济状况和生活产生不利影响。阿萨姆邦德马吉地区的贾达尔河流域几乎每年都会经历一次高强度的洪水,使该地区的人民处于危险之中。在这方面,洪水频率分析被认为是在洪水方面适当规划和管理该地区的重要步骤。洪水频率分析(FFA)是河漫滩地区开发最重要和必要的措施之一。本文采用基于历史记录预测未来洪水事件的Log Pearson Type III (LP3)概率分布方法,对贾哈尔河流域进行了FFA分析。研究中使用的数据是46年的。利用该方法预测了2、10、25、50和100年汛期的洪流量。结果表明,10年后,回收期将超过贾哈尔河的承载能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Flood Frequency Analysis of Jiadhal River Basin, India using Log Pearson Type III Distribution Method
Flood is considered as the most widespread and disastrous natural calamity in the world which adversely affects the socio-economic condition and lives of the people living within the floodplain areas of the world. The Jiadhal River basin of Dhemaji district, Assam experiences a high magnitude of flood almost every year, leaving the people of that area in jeopardy. In this regard, flood frequency analysis is considered an important step for proper planning and managing the region in terms of floods. Flood frequency analysis (FFA) is one of the utmost important and necessary measures taken to develop any floodplain region. In this present study, a FFA of the Jiadhal River Basin is carried out using the Log Pearson Type III (LP3) probability distribution method which is used to predict future flood events based on historical records. The data used in the study was for a period of 46 years. The method was used to predict the flood discharge estimations at 2, 10, 25, 50 and 100 years recurrence period. The result says that after 10 years the return period will surpass the water-carrying capacity of the Jiadhal River.
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