法俄关系:前景如何?

Arnaud Dubien
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引用次数: 0

摘要

法俄关系在历史上起伏不定。我们两国在历史上曾两次成为盟友——在第一次世界大战和第二次世界大战期间。在其他时候,他们之间的关系因紧张和战争而蒙上阴影。尽管有周期性的降温,文化对话仍然保持不变。这一逻辑在我们这个时代得到了保留。在希拉克执政期间,法俄两国的友好关系出乎意料。在俄罗斯联邦被视为对手的“亚特兰蒂斯主义者”萨科齐积极参与解决俄罗斯与格鲁吉亚的冲突,他的总理菲永甚至被称为普京的“朋友”。萨科齐总统任期结束时签署了法国向俄罗斯出售“米斯特拉尔”号航空母舰的协议。在马克龙(E. Macron)的总统竞选中,俄罗斯并没有占据重要位置。尽管如此,普京还是在马克龙当选后立即对法国进行正式访问的首批国家元首之一。两国领导人之间经常有接触。两国在安全和打击恐怖主义方面进行了合作;有经济关系;文化对话不断发展。然而,没有重大突破,而且很可能在不久的将来也不会有重大突破。在接受法俄分析中心«Observo»主任Arnaud Dubien的采访时。在此基础上,分析了两国关系的具体情况和发展过程中遇到的困难。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Franco-Russian relations: What lies ahead?
Franco-Russian relations throughout history have been characterized by ups and downs. Twice in history, our countries were allies – during the First and Second World Wars. At other times, the relationship between them was clouded by tensions and wars. Despite the periodic cooling, the cultural dialogue remained constant. This logic has been preserved in our time. The rapprochement between France and Russia during the rule of J. Chirac was quite unexpected. «Atlantist» N. Sarkozy, who was viewed in the Russian Federation as an adversary, took an active part in resolving the Russian-Georgian conflict, and his Prime Minister F. Fillon was even called a «friend» of V.V. Putin. The presidency of N. Sarkozy ended with the signing of an agreement on the deal of the French aircraft carriers Mistral to Russia. In the presidential campaign of E. Macron, Russia did not occupy an important place. Despite this, V.V. Putin became one of the first heads of state who paid an official visit to France immediately after the election of E. Macron. There are constant contacts between the leaders of the two countries. There is cooperation between the countries in the field of security and the fight against terrorism; there are economic relations; cultural dialogue is developing. However, there are no major breakthroughs and most likely they should not be expected in the near future. In an interview with the director of the French-Russian analytical center «Observo» Arnaud Dubien given to N.Yu. Lapina, the specifics of relations between the two countries and the difficulties that arise along the way are analyzed.
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