金融危机期间的贸易信贷:谈判协议有效吗?

Alexander Agronovsky, Christoph Trebesch
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文分析了贸易信贷在金融危机中的作用。利用新收集的数据,我们调查了债务国和债权国之间谈判协议对双边贸易的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在1980-1997年期间,债务重组协议之后,对债权国的出口大幅增加,而我们发现对进口和最近时期没有影响。我们认为贸易信贷是这一积极效应背后的一个关键渠道。显然,解决危机的努力,特别是延长和展期贸易信贷的协议,对出口复苏起着至关重要的作用。这为目前通过协调一致的政策干预维持贸易融资的全球努力提供了一些支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trade credit during financial crises: Do negotiated agreements work?
This paper analyzes the role of trade credit in financial crises. Using newly collected data, we investigate the impact of negotiated agreements between debtor and creditor countries on bilateral trade. Our results indicate that exports to creditor countries rise considerably after debt restructuring agreements in the period 1980-1997, while we find no effect for imports and for the more recent period. We identify trade credit as one key channel behind this positive effect. Apparently, crisis resolution efforts, in particular agreements to extend and roll over trade credits, play a crucial role for export recoveries. This gives some support to current worldwide efforts to sustain trade financing via coordinated policy interventions.
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