经济的涌现特性以及具有不一致或冲突利益的微观主体如何整体地组织成宏观实体

J. Forrest, Zaiwu Gong, Erkan Köse, Diane D. Galbraith, O. A. Arık
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现有文献表明,计算机模拟可以揭示微观层面的个体特征如何引起宏观层面的系统整体现象。本文试图在坚实的基础上建立这样一个重要的基于模拟的观测结果作为理论结果。除了解决整体现象何时可以从微观层面的特征中自然产生之外,本文还研究了许多宏观层面的实体如何以及为什么通过有机地将微观层面的主体聚集成统一导向的运营整体来响应市场召唤,即使这些主体具有不一致甚至相互冲突的利益。本文根据系统科学的结果得出结论,并建立了一个充分条件,在这个条件下,微观层面的主体的特征可以自然地导致系统整体宏观层面属性的出现,即使前者是异质的,并且以一种意想不到的、不协调的方式行为。本文建议将经济学的每一个理论结果都建立在个人信念-价值系统的基本事实之上,并将网络和计算机模拟的方法扩展到系统科学的方法。它解释了宏观社会经济现象何时从微观经济人的意外和不协调的行动和相互作用中出现,并提供了一种比从计算机模拟中观察到的更普遍的方法来得出可靠的结论。此外,它还推导出宏观经济实体何时响应市场召唤的条件,以及微观层面的利益不一致甚至冲突的个体如何有机地聚集到可操作的商业组织中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Economy’s Emergent Properties and How Micro Agents with Inconsistent or Conflicting Interests Are Holistically Organized into Macro Entities
Abstract The existing literature documents that computer simulations can reveal how characteristics of micro-level individuals give rise to macro-level phenomena of systemic wholes. This paper seeks to establish such an important simulation-based observation as a theoretical result on a sound foundation. Going beyond addressing when holistic phenomena can naturally emerge from micro-level characteristics, this paper investigates how and why many macro-level entities appear to answer market calls through organically gathering micro-level agents into uniformly-oriented operational wholes, even though these agents have inconsistent or even conflicting interests. This paper develops conclusions based on results of systems science and establishes a sufficient condition under which characteristics of micro-level agents can naturally lead to the appearance of macro-level properties of a systemic whole even though the former are heterogeneous and behave in an unintended and uncoordinated manner. This paper suggests to root each theoretical result of economics on elementary facts of personal belief-value systems and expands methods of networks and computer simulations to those of systems science. It explains when macro socioeconomic phenomena emerge out of unintended and uncoordinated actions and interactions of micro economic men, and provides a more general approach for developing reliable conclusions than those observed from computer simulations. It additionally derives conditions for when macro-level economic entities appear to answer market calls and how micro-level individuals with inconsistent or even conflicting interests can be organically congregated into operational business organizations.
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