经济视角下的适应气候变化国际合作

Kelly C. de Bruin, R. Dellink, R. Tol
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文研究了各国合作开展国际适应融资的经济激励机制。综合评估模式中使用的气候变化损害函数通常隐含地包含适应。我们使用调整后的RICE模型,在多区域环境下用显性适应取代隐性适应决策。研究表明,当适应设定在最优水平时,明确适应并不会影响最优减缓路径。然而,次优适应将改变最优减缓路径。此外,本文还研究了不同合作形式下国际适应转移对(i)国内适应和(ii)最优减缓路径的影响。在第一最佳环境下,适应转移将完全挤掉国内适应。在我们的数值模拟中,传输将降低总体缓解。分析框架用于分析最重要的机制,数值模型用于评估影响的大小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
International Cooperation on Climate Change Adaptation from an Economic Perspective
This paper investigates the economic incentives of countries to cooperate on international adaptation financing. Adaptation is generally implicitly incorporated in the climate change damage functions as used in Integrated Assessment Models. We replace the implicit decision on adaptation with explicit adaptation in a multi-regional setting by using an adjusted RICE model. We show that making adaptation explicit will not affect the optimal mitigation path when adaptation is set at its optimal level. Sub-optimal adaptation will, however, change the optimal mitigation path. Furthermore this paper studies for different forms of cooperation what effects international adaptation transfers will have on (i) domestic adaptation and (ii) the optimal mitigation path. Adaptation transfers will fully crowd out domestic adaptation in a first best setting. Transfers will decrease overall mitigation in our numerical simulations. An analytical framework is used to analyse the most important mechanisms and a numerical model is used to assess the magnitude of effects.
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