城乡收入差距影响下进出口贸易动态关系研究

Geng Ning, Wang Jie, Mei Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

改革开放以来,中国实行“多边贸易”政策,使经济快速发展,国际合作日益密切,但也产生了城乡发展不平衡的问题。本文通过构建进出口贸易与城乡收入差距的相关指标,运用VAR模型分析进出口贸易与城乡收入差距的动态关系,结果表明:进出口贸易与城乡收入差距之间存在长期均衡关系,且这种关系具有波动性,说明进出口贸易在滞后1、滞后3、滞后4阶段会缩小城乡收入差距,在滞后2、滞后5阶段会增大城乡收入差距。关系的波动性先增大后减小,影响逐渐减小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
RESEARCH ON THE DYNAMIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN IMPORT AND EXPORT TRADE ON URBAN-RURAL INCOME GAP, CHINA
Since the reform and opening up, China has adopted the policy of "multilateral trade", which has led to rapid economic development and increasingly close international cooperation, but also created the problem of unbalanced development between urban and rural areas. This paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between import and export trade and urban-rural income gap by constructing indicators related to import and export trade and urban-rural income gap and using VAR model, the results show that: there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between import and export trade and urban-rural income gap, and this relationship is volatile, which shows that import and export trade can narrow the urban-rural income gap in lags 1, 3 and 4, and increase the urban-rural income gap in lags 2 and 5. The volatility of the relationship is increasing and then decreasing, and the effect is gradually decreasing.
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