韩中日枢纽港集装箱吞吐量及互动分析

Yong-an Park
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引用次数: 1

摘要

东北亚港口产业作为国家间经济、文化、产业、外交等活动的案例,向我们展示了枢纽港口之间的动态互动。日本的枢纽港,如神户、横滨和大阪,在班轮贸易中享有优先占有效应,从20世纪70年代初开始,它们转运邻国和港口的集装箱。釜山港从20世纪80年代末开始,提高了日本中小地区港口的装卸费用和连通性竞争力,并在90年代扩大了中国北方地区港口的支线网络。在21世纪初,中国的一些港口有可能成为威胁高雄和台湾枢纽港地位的东北亚转运枢纽港,并有可能削弱韩国港口周边的支线网络。通过对相关、偏相关、面板数据和面板回归,本研究对阐明东北亚枢纽港之间的相互作用和相互关系具有重要意义。首先,港口之间的关系不断变化。因此,枢纽港之间的动态互动在21世纪仍将继续。其次,面板数据和面板回归告诉我们,五个枢纽港的集装箱吞吐量是相互联系的,也有各自的特定特征。第三,港口活动可能存在锁定效应,导致面板数据自相关。最后,枢纽港集装箱吞吐量的波动主要受贸易量的影响,受泊位长度的影响较小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis on Container Throughput and Interaction of Korea, China and Japan Hub Ports
The port industry in North-east Asia, as the cases of economic, cultural, industrial, diplomatic and other activities among countries shows us dynamic interaction between hub ports. Japanese hub ports such as Kobe, Yokohama, and Osaka enjoyed the preoccupation effect in the liner trades and they transshipped the containers of neighbouring countries and ports from the early 1970s. Since the late 1980s, Busan port could improve its competitiveness in handling costs and connectivity for Japanese medium and small sized regional ports, and expanded its feeder networks to Chinese Northern regional ports in 1990s. A few Chinese ports could be the transshipment hub ports in North-east Asia which menaced the hub status of Kaoshiung and Taiwanese hub port in 2000s, and it may have weakened the feeder network around Korean ports. Through pair correlation, partial correlation, panel data, and panel regression, this study finds significant implications in clarifying interaction and interrelation among the hub ports in North-east Asia. First, the relationship among ports changes continually. Therefore, dynamic interaction among hub ports would continue in 21st century. Second, the panel data and panel regression show us that the container throughput of five hub ports are connected with each other and also have its own specific characteristics. Third, there could be lock-in-effect in port activity, which causes auto-correlation of panel data. Finally, the fluctuation of container throughput of hub ports is affected mainly by trade amount and less by berth length.
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