基于灰色综合评价模型的区域道路交通安全评价体系构建及应用

Binru Cao, Yong Liu, Wu-yong Qian, Yu-hong Wang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

开展区域道路交通安全评价是分析现状、有效实施道路交通安全管理的基础,而构建科学有效的评价体系是开展评价的前提。为了给区域道路交通安全评价提供一种方法,利用灰色综合评价模型探讨科学有效的区域道路交通安全评价体系。本文分别利用灰色关联特征向量法和灰色关联分析法构建区域道路交通安全评价指标体系,确定指标权重,然后进行灰色聚类和灰色关联。采用理想点法,建立了一种新的区域道路交通安全评价模型。最后,以中国31个省市的区域道路交通安全为例,验证了该模型的可行性和有效性,为分析中国各省市的现状和差异提供了依据。通过对模型和案例的分析,结果表明,所提出的模型不仅实现了区域安全的分类,而且实现了对同一类别的评价区域的比较和排序。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Construction of the evaluation system for regional road traffic safety and application based on a grey integrated evaluation model
It is the basis for making analysis of the status quo and implementing effectively road traffic safety management to launch the evaluation for regional road traffic safety, while the construction of scientific and effective evaluation system is the prerequisite of carrying out the evaluation. In order to provide a method for the evaluation for regional road traffic safety, a grey integrated evaluation model is exploited to investigate the scientific and effective evaluation system for regional road traffic safety. In this paper, the grey incidence feature vector method and grey incidence analysis are, respectively utilized to construct an evaluation index system for regional road traffic safety, and determine the index weights and then grey clustering and grey incidence. The ideal point method is used to establish a novel evaluation model of regional road traffic safety. Finally, the regional road traffic safety for 31 provinces and cities in china are investigated to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed model, and provide the basis of making analysis of the present situation and the difference for the provinces and cities in China. Based on the analysis of the model and case, the results show that the proposed model does not only realize the categorizations of regional security, but also the comparison and ranking for the evaluated regions in the same category.
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