工业4.0与世界经济分化——第四次工业革命对世界经济影响的新视角

Ashutosh Rijal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

工业4.0是当前数字化转型的趋势,并利用自动化、大数据和物联网(IoT)将流程集成到数字环境中。世界经济的分化与趋同相反,意味着发展中国家与发达国家之间的差距越来越大。虽然即将到来的第四次工业革命确实带来了显著的生产力和效率提升,但研究自动化对这两个经济体影响的差异也很重要。本文试图研究工业4.0和即将到来的自动化时代如何出乎意料地支持世界经济的分化,从而导致发达国家(日本、美国、德国)和发展中国家(印度、尼日利亚、墨西哥)之间的差距。人口越多,对经济做出贡献的人数就越多,这一直是趋同的核心论点。但是,当工业机器人为经济工作时,当人口少的国家也能实现同样高的产出时,经济影响有何不同?本文对这些主题进行了深入研究:1)比较分析,其中通过检查前三次工业革命来观察工业4.0的前景;2)宏观经济分析,其中推断人口统计、劳动力再部署和工业4.0的边际成本效益,以讨论经济分歧。这篇跨学科论文使用了经济学和商业学科的概念,最后提出了发达国家和发展中国家为即将到来的转型做准备的政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Industry 4.0 and World Economic Divergence - A Novel Perspective on the Impact of Fourth Industrial Revolution on the World Economy
Industry 4.0 is a current trend of digital transformation and integration of processes into the digital environment using automation, big data, and Internet of Things (IoT). The divergence of the world economy, contrary to the convergence infers the increasing gap between developing and developed countries. Although it is true that there are significant productivity and efficiency gains with the upcoming fourth industrial revolution, it is also essential to examine the differences in the impact of automation on these two economies. The thesis is an attempt to investigate how unanticipatedly Industry 4.0 and the upcoming era of automation supports the divergence of the world economy, contributing to the gap between the developed (Japan, USA, Germany) and developing countries (India, Nigeria, Mexico). The higher the population, the higher the number of people contributing to economy, has been the centre argument for convergence. But how different is the economic impact, when it is the industrial robots working for the economy and when the country even with low population can achieve equally high output? The paper dives over these topics with 1) comparative analysis where an outlook of Industry 4.0 is observed by examining previous three industrial revolutions 2) macroeconomic analysis, where population demographics, labour redeployment and marginal cost-benefit of Industry 4.0 are inferred to discuss divergence of economies. The transdisciplinary paper uses concepts from economics and business disciplines and concludes with policies for developed and developing countries to prepare for the upcoming transition.
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