新冠疫情期间预算公告的股价反应与市场效率——基于印度股市的实证分析

K. Prema, Dr.M.N. Periasamy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究运用事件研究方法,实证分析了2020年至2022年covid期间预算公告前后印度股市Nifty 50指数的股价反应和效率。市场有效性的检验采用了包括预算公告日前后30天、预算事件日在内的61天事件研究窗口,估算窗口期为事件发生前的120天。采用市场模型来证明事件日期附近的异常收益,并协助估计预期收益。运用异常收益、平均异常收益、累积平均异常收益和t检验分析了印度预算公告的市场效率。本文揭示了印度股市的效率水平较高,投资者在新冠期间的预算公告中无法获得异常利润。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Price Reaction and Market Efficiency on Budget Announcement During Covid Periods: An Empirical Analysis of Indian Stock Market
This study empirically analysed the stock price reaction and the efficiency of Indian stock market of the Nifty 50 index around the budget announcements during covid periods from 2020 to 2022 by applying event study methodology. The market efficiency was tested by employing 61 days event study window including 30 days before and 30 days after the announcement date, and the event date of the budget, while the estimation window period comprises of 120 days of the pre-event period. The market model is employed to demonstrate abnormal returns near the event date and to assist in estimating expected returns. Abnormal returns, Average abnormal returns, Cumulative average abnormal returns, and t-tests were applied for analysing the market efficiency on Indian budget announcements. This research paper reveals that the efficiency level of the Indian stock market is high and the investors can not make an abnormal profit over the budget announcements during Covid periods.
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