选举制度、选举和连任:来自意大利市政当局的证据

G. Gulino
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引用次数: 8

摘要

我利用意大利地方选举的微观数据,并利用人口截断点的不连续性,研究了选举制度对政治家选择和连任的影响。有证据表明,在多数制度下,市长连任的可能性比比例制度高25个百分点。在多数制度下选举产生的执政联盟享有稳定和持久的多数,吸引更多的中央转移,并更多地投资于公共图书馆。虽然在两种不同的选举制度下当选的市长在任何可观察到的特征上没有区别,但他们一旦失去市政办公室,往往会走上不同的政治生涯。令人惊讶的是,在比例制度下当选的市长在任期结束后被选为地区办公室的可能性更高。(jel 72, h70, p16)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electoral Systems, Selection, and Re-election:Evidence from Italian Municipalities
Using micro-level data on local Italian elections and exploiting a discontinuity at a population cutoff, I study the effect of electoral systems on politician selection and re-election. Evidence shows that the mayor’s probability of re-election is 25 percentage points higher in majoritarian systems than in proportional systems. Ruling coalitions elected under the majoritarian system enjoy a stable and long-lasting majority, attract more central transfers, and invest more in public libraries. While mayors elected under the two different electoral systems do not differ in any observable characteristics, they do tend to embark on a different political careers once they lose their municipal office. Surprisingly, mayors elected under the proportional system have a higher probability of being elected to regional offices after their mandate. (JEL D72, H70, P16)
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