基于模糊综合评价模型的蒸汽增产效果预测

Hai-jing Wang, S. Xue
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引用次数: 0

摘要

针对传统蒸汽增产效果预测中忽略模糊因素的问题,采用模糊综合评价方法,提出了一种二次模糊综合评价模型,分析多种不确定因素对蒸汽增产效果的影响。首先,根据蒸汽增产的影响因素,建立了影响因素集和评价集;然后确定定性指标和定量指标对评价等级的隶属度,建立单因素模糊关系矩阵;根据各因素对蒸汽增产的影响程度,给出了相应的权重集。最后进行二次模糊压缩评价。基于二次模糊综合评价模型,对一口井的蒸汽增产效果进行了预测。结果表明,预测结果与实测数据吻合较好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of effect of steam stimulation based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model
Aiming at the problem of neglecting fuzzy factors in traditional prediction of effect of steam stimulation, using a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, we propose a secondary fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model to analyze the effect of many uncertain factors on steam stimulation. First, according to the influencing factors of steam stimulation, the factor set and evaluation set are established; then the membership degree of the qualitative index and quantitative index to assessment grades is decided, and the single factor fuzzy relation matrix is established; Moreover, based on the influence degree of each factor on steam stimulation, the weighting set is also given. Finally, the secondary fuzzy compressive evaluation is conducted. Based on the secondary fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model, the steam stimulation effect for a well is predicted. And it is found that the predicted results are consistent to the observed data.
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