贸易数据中的零值问题及建模

O. I. Kareem, F. Kareem
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引用次数: 3

摘要

国际贸易为实现和(或)建立国家间的互动、一体化和伙伴关系提供了一个渠道。尽管贸易与国家、区域和全球经济有关,但对这些经济活动的记录有时是不充分的,以致产生的数据的有效性受到质疑。实证学者经常发现很难分析贸易价值为零的贸易统计数据,特别是在寻找自然对数方面。研究人员通常采用截断法或删节法来处理零贸易统计。然而,这对实证分析和政策制定产生了影响,因为如果从数据集中截断零价值贸易中的信息,这些信息将会丢失。因此,文献中的主要挑战是在可用选项中解决零交易值问题的最合适和最有效的经验策略问题。这在文献中引起了争论,有几种证明和反驳,行动和反应以及反作用。正是在此基础上,本文的定位是回顾解决贸易统计中的零值的考虑,适用于积极的贸易分析和/或建模的激烈争议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Issues of Zero Values in Trade Data and Modelling
International trade provides a channel with which the interaction, integration and partnership of countries can be attained and/or established. Despite the relevance of trade to national, regional and global economies, the documentation of these economic activities is sometimes inadequate such that it brings to question the validity of the generated data. Empirical scholars often find it difficult to analyze trade statistics with zero-trade values, especially in terms of finding natural logarithm. Researchers often deal with the zero trade statistics by employing the truncation method or censoring method. However, this has consequences for empirical analysis and policy formulation because there is information in the zero-value trade that will be lost if they are truncated from the dataset. Hence, the main challenge in the literature is the issue of the most appropriate and efficient empirical strategy for solving the problem of zero-trade values among available options. This has led to controversy in the literature with several proofs and reproofs, actions and reaction as well as counter-reaction. It is on this basis that this paper is situated to review the raging controversy on the solution to the consideration of zero values in trade statistics as applicable to positive trade analysis and/or modelling.  
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