哈萨克斯坦地缘政治:理论与实践

I. Ivanov, V. Volovoj
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摘要

文章分析了哈萨克斯坦的地缘政治,根据经典地缘政治理论考察了它应该是什么样子,以及在实践中是什么样子,特别是在哈萨克斯坦加入欧亚经济联盟(EEU)和上海合作组织(SCO)的情况下,这反映了哈萨克斯坦在与俄罗斯和中国的关系中作为中亚稳定的主要因素的地缘战略。本文的附加价值在于,它是纯粹的地缘政治,而地缘政治方法(理论)通常在国际关系学科中被误解,使用相当自由,经常与现实主义范式混淆。此外,中亚作为分析对象并不是全球学术话语的中心,任何对中亚地缘政治领域的额外研究都拓宽了对该地区外部和内部政治进程的理解。研究表明,哈萨克斯坦的地缘政治注定是大陆性的,以心脏地带为导向,因为哈萨克斯坦位于俄罗斯最近的邻国,是草原国家,具有完全不同于其他大国的保守身份。因此,它与莫斯科的战略联盟的地缘政治吸引力非常强,而总统纳扎尔巴耶夫作为俄罗斯地缘政治理论“欧亚主义”的一贯支持者,更是加强了这种吸引力。哈萨克斯坦加入欧亚经济联盟,最初是由纳扎尔巴耶夫发起的,这支持了与俄罗斯的地缘政治联盟是哈萨克斯坦地缘战略本质的观点。与此同时,哈萨克斯坦与中国有着良好的关系,但与与俄罗斯的合作相比,它们对阿斯塔纳来说是次要的。上海合作组织是哈萨克斯坦在莫斯科和北京地缘政治对话中找到自己位置的舒适平台。问题在于,没有人知道纳扎尔巴耶夫离任后哈萨克斯坦的外交政策会是什么样子,但经典的地缘政治理论认为,从长远来看,哈萨克斯坦的地缘政治取向几乎不会改变,因为它的保守性太强了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Geopolitics of Kazakhstan: Theory and Practice
Article analyzes geopolitics of Kazakhstan, examines how it should look like in accordance with classic geopolitical theory and howit does look in practice, in particular in case of Kazakhstan membership in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) and Shanghai CooperationOrganization (SCO), which reflects Kazakh geostrategy in relations with Russia and China as the main factors of stabilityin Central Asia. Additional value of the article is that it is purely geopolitical while geopolitical method (theory) is usually misunderstoodin the discipline of international relations, used rather freely often being confused with realistic paradigm. Also CentralAsia as an object of analysis is not in the centre of global academic discourse and any additional study in the field of CA geopoliticsbroadens understanding of the external and internal political process in the region. The study showed that Kazakh geopolitics ispredetermined to be continental, Heartland oriented, because Kazakhstan is located in the closest neighborhood of Russia and is asteppe land with the conservative identity totally different to the one of see powers. Therefore its geopolitical gravitation towardsstrategic alliance with Moscow is very strong and even more strengthened by its president Nursultan Nazarbayev as a consistent partisanof the Russian geopolitical theory called Eurasism. Kazakhstan membership in EEU, initially initiated by Nazarbayev, supportsthe idea that geopolitical union with Russia is the essence of Kazakh geostrategy. At the same time Kazakhstan has good relationswith China, but they are of secondary importance for Astana in comparison to cooperation with Russia. SCO is a comfortable platformfor Kazakhstan to find its place in geopolitical dialogue of Moscow and Beijing. The problem is that nobody knows how Kazakhforeign policy will look like after Nazarbayev leaves the office, but classic geopolitical theory says that geopolitical orientation ofKazakhstan will hardly change in the long run because its c onservative land identity is too strong.
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