{"title":"分布式水文预报系统及其在山竹洪水预报中的应用","authors":"Aizhong Hou , Zhidan Hu , Hongchang Hu","doi":"10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.10.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The currently used hydrological forecast system in China is mainly focused on flood, and the flood forecasting frameworks are typically based on point discharge measurements and predictions at discrete locations, hence they can't provide spatio-temporal information of various hydrological elements, such as surface runoff, soil moisture, ground water table, and flood inundation extents over large scales and at high spatial resolutions. The use of distributed hydrological model has recently appeared to be the most suitable option to bridge this gap. An open source GIS-based distributed hydrological forecast system was established recently, and the watershed delineation and hydrological modelling were integrated together seamlessly. The time and human consuming work of processing the spatial data in building distributed hydrological model could be reduced significantly, and the spatial distribution of hydrological information could be quickly simulated and predicted using this system. The system was applied successfully to forecast the flood caused by super strong typhoon “Mangkhut” which attacked the south China in 2018.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":44442,"journal":{"name":"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review","volume":"9 4","pages":"Pages 187-192"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.10.001","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A distributed hydrological forecast system and its application in predicting the flood caused by Mangkhut\",\"authors\":\"Aizhong Hou , Zhidan Hu , Hongchang Hu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.10.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>The currently used hydrological forecast system in China is mainly focused on flood, and the flood forecasting frameworks are typically based on point discharge measurements and predictions at discrete locations, hence they can't provide spatio-temporal information of various hydrological elements, such as surface runoff, soil moisture, ground water table, and flood inundation extents over large scales and at high spatial resolutions. The use of distributed hydrological model has recently appeared to be the most suitable option to bridge this gap. An open source GIS-based distributed hydrological forecast system was established recently, and the watershed delineation and hydrological modelling were integrated together seamlessly. The time and human consuming work of processing the spatial data in building distributed hydrological model could be reduced significantly, and the spatial distribution of hydrological information could be quickly simulated and predicted using this system. The system was applied successfully to forecast the flood caused by super strong typhoon “Mangkhut” which attacked the south China in 2018.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":44442,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review\",\"volume\":\"9 4\",\"pages\":\"Pages 187-192\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.10.001\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300552\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300552","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
A distributed hydrological forecast system and its application in predicting the flood caused by Mangkhut
The currently used hydrological forecast system in China is mainly focused on flood, and the flood forecasting frameworks are typically based on point discharge measurements and predictions at discrete locations, hence they can't provide spatio-temporal information of various hydrological elements, such as surface runoff, soil moisture, ground water table, and flood inundation extents over large scales and at high spatial resolutions. The use of distributed hydrological model has recently appeared to be the most suitable option to bridge this gap. An open source GIS-based distributed hydrological forecast system was established recently, and the watershed delineation and hydrological modelling were integrated together seamlessly. The time and human consuming work of processing the spatial data in building distributed hydrological model could be reduced significantly, and the spatial distribution of hydrological information could be quickly simulated and predicted using this system. The system was applied successfully to forecast the flood caused by super strong typhoon “Mangkhut” which attacked the south China in 2018.
期刊介绍:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome.
Scope of the journal includes:
• Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies
• Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings
• Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones
• Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones
• Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones