大流行病期间,感知风险对不诚实决策的影响。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2022-12-12 DOI:10.1111/risa.14082
Ian G J Dawson, Yaniv M Hanoch
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引用次数: 0

摘要

COVID-19 大流行给全球数百万人的健康和经济福祉带来了严重风险。虽然许多人通过各种亲社会和保护行为(如远离社会、在家工作)来适应这些挑战,但也有许多人从事不诚实的行为(如撒谎以获得疫苗或休假付款)。因此,COVID-19 大流行为更好地了解风险与不诚实之间的关系提供了一个独特的背景。在三项预先登记的研究中,我们评估了客观风险和感知风险是否会影响人们做出不诚实行为的决定,以便在大流行期间获得疫苗和休假补助。我们还评估了不诚实行为被发现的可能性对这种不诚实行为的威慑程度。我们发现,健康风险认知的提高与为获得疫苗而撒谎呈正相关(研究 1 和 2),但没有证据表明财务风险认知与为获得休假而撒谎之间存在同样的关系(研究 2)。我们还发现,不诚实行为被发现的概率与不诚实行为呈负相关(研究 3)。此外,在三项研究中,我们发现:(i) 在所有样本中,约有三分之一的人始终存在不诚实行为;(ii) 年龄越大,不诚实行为越多。我们将讨论政策制定者如何利用我们的研究结果,在未来类似的危机中更好地阻止和发现不诚实行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The role of perceived risk on dishonest decision making during a pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic presented serious risks to the health and financial wellbeing of millions of people across the world. While many individuals adapted to these challenges through a variety of prosocial and protective behaviors (e.g., social distancing, working from home), many others also engaged in dishonest behaviors (e.g., lying to obtain vaccines or furlough payments). Hence, the COVID-19 pandemic provided a unique context in which to obtain a better understanding of the relationship between risk and dishonesty. Across three preregistered studies, we assessed whether objective risk and perceived risk influenced the decision to behave dishonestly in order to gain access to vaccines and furlough payments during a pandemic. We also assessed the extent to which such dishonesty was deterred by the probability of the dishonesty being detected. We found that heightened health risk perceptions were positively related with lying to obtain a vaccine (Studies 1 and 2), but found no evidence of the same relationship between financial risk perceptions and lying to access furlough payments (Study 2). We also found that the probability of dishonesty being detected had a negative relationship with dishonest behavior (Study 3). In addition, across the three studies, we found that (i) dishonesty was consistently evident in approximately one-third of all of our samples, and (ii) greater dishonesty was associated with older age. We discuss how our findings could be utilized by policy makers to better deter and detect dishonest behaviors during future similar crises.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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