在数据贫乏的环境中对自行车使用和死亡风险的人口水平估计。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Rahul Goel
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引用次数: 1

摘要

缺乏步行和骑自行车暴露的数据,对了解这些道路使用者的受伤风险构成了重大障碍。尽管这种数据匮乏在中低收入国家最为普遍,但在许多高收入国家,这仍然是一个挑战。以印度新德里为例,提出了一种新的简单方法来估计人口水平的自行车行驶距离。我用两个独立的估计值来计算这个距离。首先,摩托车交通量与主要道路上自行车交通量的比率,其次,摩托车每年行驶的总距离。我使用伦敦的数据验证了这种方法,伦敦的自行车距离估计可以从全市交通量统计和家庭出行调查中获得。将距离估计值与相应道路使用者的年死亡人数相结合,我发现骑自行车的人每公里的死亡风险是摩托车使用者的2倍,是汽车使用者的40倍。为了鼓励更多地使用自行车,迫切需要缩小骑自行车者和汽车乘客安全之间的差距。所提出的方法可用于在许多不存在交通监控系统的环境中监测自行车的使用情况及其风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Population-level estimate of bicycle use and fatality risk in a data-poor setting.

Lack of data on exposure for walking and cycling poses a significant barrier to understanding the injury risk of these road users. Though this data paucity is most prevalent across low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs), it remains a challenge in many high-income countries as well. A new and simple method has been proposed to estimate population-level cycling distance travelled, with New Delhi, India as a case study. I used two independent estimates to calculate this distance. First, a ratio of motorcycle volume counts to that of cycle volume counts across major roads, and second, the total annual distance travelled by motorcycles. I validate this method using data from London, where cycling distance estimates are available from city-wide traffic volume counts as well as household travel survey. Combining the distance estimates with annual fatalities of corresponding road users, I found that cyclists have about 2 times greater fatality risk per kilometre than motorcycle occupants and about 40 times greater risk than car occupants. To encourage greater use of cycling, there is an urgent need to narrow this gap between the safety of cyclists and that of car occupants. The proposed method can be used to monitor cycling usage and its risk for many settings where traffic surveillance systems do not exist.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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