区域道路碰撞安全和严重程度指标影响因素的热点分析与评价:来自伊朗的见解。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Morteza Ahmadpur, Ilgin Yasar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在伊朗等发展中国家进行的区域道路安全研究不足。关于区域道路安全指数(rsi),观察到伊朗各省之间存在显著差异。因此,本研究旨在对伊朗区域风险指数进行评价,并确定其影响因素和潜在热点。收集了关于区域道路碰撞、死亡、人口、交通、卫生机构、经济、教育和燃料消耗率的数据。使用相关分析评估变量之间的相关性。利用Moran’s I和地方Moran指数,评价了各省的空间分布。采用热点分析法确定影响rsi的因素。各变量之间存在显著的相关性。就每一次受伤的死亡人数(作为坠机严重程度指数)而言,在该国东南部发现了一个巨大的地方集群。7个区域的区域风险指数呈集群型分布。不同的群体,包括道路长度、人口、收入、教育和地理,会影响热点或冷点地区的rsi。在欠发达和偏远省份,撞车事故很严重。收入和教育水平的提高使这个国家的事故严重程度指数有可能降低。一个正的Moran’s I指数并不能保证一个国家存在重要的本地集群核心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hot spot analysis and evaluation of influencing factors on regional road crash safety and severity indices: insights from Iran.

Inadequate regional road safety studies have been conducted in developing countries like Iran. Regarding regional road safety indices (RSIs), a significant disparity between Iranian provinces was observed. Thus, it was aimed to evaluate the regional RSIs in Iran and identify their influencing factors and potential hot spots. Data on regional road crashes, fatalities, demographics, transportation, health institutions, economics, education, and fuel consumption rates were collected. The association between the variables was evaluated using correlation analysis. Using Moran's I and local Moran indices, provinces' spatial distributions were evaluated. Hot spot analysis was used to identify factors influencing RSIs. Significant correlations between the variables were detected. A vast local cluster in terms of fatality per injury (as a crash severity index) was identified in the country's southeast. The distribution patterns of provinces in terms of seven RSIs were cluster-like. Variable groups, including road length, demographic, income, education, and geographic, influence RSIs in hot or cold spot regions. Crashes were severe in underdeveloped and remote provinces. Increasing income and education levels make it possible to reduce crash severity indices in this country. A positive Moran's I index does not guarantee the existence of significant local cluster cores in a country.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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