人工智能有一天会强大到足以消除随机临床试验的需要吗?

IF 0.9 4区 医学 Q4 RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING
Hellenic journal of nuclear medicine Pub Date : 2023-05-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-04 DOI:10.1967/s002449912581
Spyros Retsas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人工智能(AI)目前占据了媒体和医学媒体的头条,其信息显示其正在出现的无限潜力,但也有厄运和悲观的故事预测人类灭绝的风险!2023年6月6日,《伦敦时报》的一个标题是:“人工智能顾问说,两年来拯救世界”。对于不知情的人来说,人工智能只不过是以闪电般的速度处理大量数据,现在随着计算领域的最新惊人发展,这一点已经可以实现。然而,在不需要进行第三阶段随机试验(有时是安慰剂对照试验)的情况下,能否利用这种力量准确预测第一阶段或第二阶段试验中出现的新疗法的治疗潜力?由于一些临床研究人员对这种临床研究感到不舒服,尤其是当将安慰剂分配给参加III期试验的癌症患者时,对随机试验的道义和伦理问题经常占据医学文献。其他人认为,与随机对照试验是更可靠的治疗效果评估者的观点相反,研究人员发现,在某些情况下,观察性研究与随机对照研究相比,并没有高估治疗效果的大小。准确预测人工智能新型治疗的真正潜力,从而避免第三阶段随机试验的需要,可以节省时间、精力和资金,并减轻将治疗随机分配给癌症和预期寿命有限的患者的道德负担。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Will artificial intelligence be, one day, powerful enough to obviate the need of randomized clinical trials?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) currently occupies the headlines in the media as well as the medical press, with messages of its emerging unlimited potential, but also tales of doom and gloom predicting risks for the extinction of humanity! One such headline in the London TIMES of 6th June 2023 reads: - "Two years to save the world, says AI adviser". To the uninformed, AI is nothing more than the processing of a colossal amount of data with lightning speed, now achievable with the latest spectacular developments in computing. However, could such power be harnessed to accurately predict the therapeutic potential of a new treatment emerging from Phase I, or Phase II trials, without the need to proceed to Phase III randomised, at times placebo controlled, trials? The deontological and ethical concerns about randomised trials have frequently occupied the medical literature as several clinical researchers feel uncomfortable with this kind of clinical research, especially when a placebo is allocated to patients with cancer, enlisted in a Phase III trial. Others have argued that in contrast to the belief that randomised controlled trials are more reliable estimators of the efficacy of a treatment, investigators have found that, in some settings, observational studies did not overestimate the size of the treatment effect compared with their randomised counterparts. An accurate prediction of the true potential of a novel treatment with AI, thus obviating the need of a phase III, randomised trial, could save time, effort, and finances, as well as relieve the ethical burden of allocating treatment at random to patients with cancer and limited life expectancy.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
6.70%
发文量
34
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Hellenic Journal of Nuclear Medicine published by the Hellenic Society of Nuclear Medicine in Thessaloniki, aims to contribute to research, to education and cover the scientific and professional interests of physicians, in the field of nuclear medicine and in medicine in general. The journal may publish papers of nuclear medicine and also papers that refer to related subjects as dosimetry, computer science, targeting of gene expression, radioimmunoassay, radiation protection, biology, cell trafficking, related historical brief reviews and other related subjects. Original papers are preferred. The journal may after special agreement publish supplements covering important subjects, dully reviewed and subscripted separately.
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