Review of animal transmission experiments of respiratory viruses: Implications for transmission risk of SARS-COV-2 in humans via different routes.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-27 DOI:10.1111/risa.14129
Ying Li, Ning Mao, Lei Guo, Luyao Guo, Linlin Chen, Li Zhao, Qingqin Wang, Enshen Long
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Exploring transmission risk of different routes has major implications for epidemic control. However, disciplinary boundaries have impeded the dissemination of epidemic information, have caused public panic about "air transmission," "air-conditioning transmission," and "environment-to-human transmission," and have triggered "hygiene theater." Animal experiments provide experimental evidence for virus transmission, but more attention is paid to whether transmission is driven by droplets or aerosols and using the dichotomy to describe most transmission events. Here, according to characteristics of experiment setups, combined with patterns of human social interactions, we reviewed and grouped animal transmission experiments into four categories-close contact, short-range, fomite, and aerosol exposure experiments-and provided enlightenment, with experimental evidence, on the transmission risk of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) in humans via different routes. When referring to "air transmission," context should be showed in elaboration results, rather than whether close contact, short or long range is uniformly described as "air transmission." Close contact and short range are the major routes. When face-to-face, unprotected, horizontally directional airflow does promote transmission, due to virus decay and dilution in air, the probability of "air conditioning transmission" is low; the risk of "environment-to-human transmission" highly relies on surface contamination and human behavior based on indirect path of "fomite-hand-mucosa or conjunctiva" and virus decay on surfaces. Thus, when discussing the transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2, we should comprehensively consider the biological basis of virus transmission, environmental conditions, and virus decay. Otherwise, risk of certain transmission routes, such as long-range and fomite transmission, will be overrated, causing public excessive panic, triggering ineffective actions, and wasting epidemic prevention resources.

呼吸道病毒动物传播实验综述:对SARS-COV-2通过不同途径在人类中传播风险的影响
探索不同途径的传播风险对疫情控制具有重要意义。然而,学科界限阻碍了疫情信息的传播,引发了公众对“空气传播”、“空调传播”、“环境-人传播”的恐慌,引发了“卫生剧场”。动物实验为病毒传播提供了实验证据,但更多的是关注传播是由飞沫还是气溶胶驱动,并使用二分法来描述大多数传播事件。根据实验设置特点,结合人类社会交往模式,将动物传播实验分为近距离接触实验、近距离接触实验、接触物接触实验和气溶胶接触实验四类,并结合实验证据对SARS-COV-2在不同途径的人类传播风险进行了启示。当提到“空气传播”时,应在详细的结果中显示上下文,而不是将近距离接触、短距离或远距离统一描述为“空气传播”。近距离接触和近距离传播是主要途径。当面对面、无防护、水平方向气流确实促进传播时,由于病毒在空气中衰变和稀释,“空调传播”的概率较低;“环境-人传播”的风险高度依赖于表面污染和基于“细菌-手-粘膜或结膜”和病毒在表面腐烂的间接途径的人类行为。因此,在讨论SARS-CoV-2的传播风险时,应综合考虑病毒传播的生物学基础、环境条件和病毒衰变。否则,就会高估某些传播途径(如远程传播、短程传播)的风险,造成公众过度恐慌,导致行动不力,浪费防疫资源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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