A study of the factors affecting driving risk perception using the Bivariate Ordered Probit model.

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Sina Sahebi, Habibollah Nassiri, Hossein Naderi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract This paper aims to examine the key factors influencing driving risk perception in Iran. We conducted separate surveys for two groups of Iranian drivers, namely passenger car drivers and truck drivers. In order to assess driving risk perception, respondents were asked what they think about their Probability of Having a Road Accident (PHRA) and if they eventually have an accident as a driver, what they think about the Probability of it being Fatal or causing Severe Injury (PFSI). A Bivariate Ordered Probit model, which considers the possible correlation between PHRA and PFSI, was developed to explain the observed driving risk perception using type of vehicle, driving experience, socio-demographic information, and driving behaviour. According to the results, vehicle type, vehicle age, driving experience, sleep quality, at-fault accidents over the past three years, vehicles safety-related equipment, and education level have significant effects on driving risk perception (p-value < 0.05). In addition, this paper compares the driving risk perception of truck and passenger car drivers. The results show that truck drivers have a higher perception of PHRA and PFSI compared with passenger car drivers (p-value < 0.05). The results may convince policy-makers to consider the characteristics of the two categories of drivers when designing regulations.
用双变量有序概率模型研究影响驾驶风险感知的因素。
本文旨在研究影响伊朗驾驶风险认知的关键因素。我们对两组伊朗司机分别进行了调查,即乘用车司机和卡车司机。为了评估驾驶风险认知,受访者被问及他们对发生道路交通事故(PHRA)的可能性的看法,以及如果他们最终作为驾驶员发生事故,他们对致命或造成严重伤害(PFSI)的可能性的看法。考虑到PHRA和PFSI之间可能存在的相关性,我们开发了一个双变量有序概率模型来解释使用车辆类型、驾驶经验、社会人口信息和驾驶行为所观察到的驾驶风险感知。结果显示,车辆类型、车龄、驾驶经验、睡眠质量、近3年过失事故、车辆安全相关设备、文化程度对驾驶风险感知有显著影响(p值< 0.05)。此外,本文还比较了货车司机和乘用车司机的驾驶风险感知。结果表明,货车司机对PHRA和PFSI的感知高于乘用车司机(p值< 0.05)。研究结果可能会促使政策制定者在制定法规时考虑这两类司机的特征。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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