Empirical Analysis of Livelihood Strategies and Food Insecurity in Turkana County, Kenya

John Kamau Gathiaka, Moses Kinyanjui Muriithi
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Abstract

The pastoral communities of Turkana in northern Kenya have for ages satisfied their economic, social, and cultural needs through nomadic pastoralism. But due to increasing frequency of drought and market shocks, the ability of age-old strategies to shield these pastoralists from poverty and food insecurity has declined. With only livestock and social capital as the main assets in a communal property regime, it is not clear which of the various livelihood strategies that these pastoralists pursue can shield households from drought and market shocks. This study investigates livelihood strategies as pursued by pastoralists in Turkana County with a view to identify strategies that can effectively shield households from shocks. Data for the study is sourced from the Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey (KIHBS) 2005/06. Available literature is used to identify livelihood strategies in Turkana, while the KIHBS data is used to establish the population of people pursuing each strategy. Anova and Bonferroni tests give evidence of the existence of four livelihood strategies using food expenditure ratio as the categorizing variable. Multinomial logit regression is used to analyse the determinants of livelihood strategies. Findings, though not conclusive, suggest correlation between food insecurity and livelihood strategy. Policies that target to influence livelihood strategies may have implications on food security in Turkana, even though further analysis is required to confirm the association.
肯尼亚图尔卡纳县生计战略与粮食不安全实证分析
长期以来,肯尼亚北部图尔卡纳的牧民社区一直通过游牧方式满足其经济、社会和文化需求。但是,由于干旱和市场冲击日益频繁,保护这些牧民免受贫困和粮食不安全的古老战略的能力已经下降。在公共财产制度中,牲畜和社会资本是主要资产,因此尚不清楚这些牧民采取的各种生计策略中,哪一种能够保护家庭免受干旱和市场冲击的影响。本研究调查了图尔卡纳县牧民所采取的生计策略,以确定能够有效保护家庭免受冲击的策略。该研究的数据来自2005/06年度肯尼亚综合家庭预算调查(KIHBS)。现有文献用于确定图尔卡纳的生计策略,而KIHBS数据用于确定执行每种策略的人口。方差分析和Bonferroni检验以食物支出比率作为分类变量,证明了四种生计策略的存在。使用多项逻辑回归分析生计策略的决定因素。研究结果虽然不是结论性的,但表明粮食不安全和生计战略之间存在相关性。旨在影响生计战略的政策可能对图尔卡纳的粮食安全产生影响,尽管需要进一步分析以证实这种联系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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