Application of Population Models to the Adjustment of Age and Sex Data from Developing Countries

IF 0.4 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY
C. Okoro, E. C. Nwogu
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Abstract:This paper focuses on the adjustment of reported populations from censuses in developing countries. Reported populations by sex and 5–year age groups in censuses from developing countries are known to be defective and need adjustment before they can be gainfully utilised. We apply methods based on population models to obtain adjusted populations from the reported populations because mathematical methods have been shown to smoothen out genuine features of a study population. In order to assess the success of the adjustment, the adjusted data were subjected to re-evaluation and were used to obtain estimates of some demographic parameters (fertility, mortality, etc). Using the age-sex accuracy index, the results show that quality of the adjusted populations improved substantially in all the censuses and appear much better than results from the mathematical methods. Therefore, we recommend that, where necessary, adjusted data using population models should be used for estimation of demographic parameters and population projections in developing countries.
人口模型在发展中国家年龄和性别数据调整中的应用
摘要:本文主要研究发展中国家人口普查报告人口的调整情况。发展中国家按性别和5岁年龄组分列的人口普查报告是有缺陷的,需要进行调整才能有效地加以利用。我们采用基于人口模型的方法从报告的人口中获得调整后的人口,因为数学方法已被证明可以平滑研究人口的真实特征。为了评估调整是否成功,对调整后的数据进行了重新评价,并用来估计一些人口参数(生育率、死亡率等)。使用年龄-性别准确度指数,结果表明,调整后的人口质量在所有人口普查中都有明显提高,比数学方法的结果要好得多。因此,我们建议在必要时使用人口模型调整的数据来估计发展中国家的人口参数和人口预测。
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来源期刊
Population Review
Population Review DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: Population Review publishes scholarly research that covers a broad range of social science disciplines, including demography, sociology, social anthropology, socioenvironmental science, communication, and political science. The journal emphasizes empirical research and strives to advance knowledge on the interrelationships between demography and sociology. The editor welcomes submissions that combine theory with solid empirical research. Articles that are of general interest to population specialists are also desired. International in scope, the journal’s focus is not limited by geography. Submissions are encouraged from scholars in both the developing and developed world. Population Review publishes original articles and book reviews. Content is published online immediately after acceptance.
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