Cashing in on the Demographic Dividend: Is Bangladesh Moving in the Right Direction?

IF 0.4 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY
Nusrat Jafrin, Rulia Akhtar, M. M. Masud, Deboshree Ghosh
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract:The demographic dividend contributes to a nation’s economic performance by increasing its per capita income, savings and investments. In recent decades, Bangladesh, like other South Asian countries, is passing through its demographic dividend phase, which can promote overall sustainable socioeconomic development of the country. This window of opportunity has a dynamic comparative advantage for Bangladesh compared to its corresponding countries vis-à-vis the youth labour force. This paper conducts a situational analysis of the demographic dividend in Bangladesh by examining data on labour market, savings rate and human capital from different national and international sources. The results from the situational analysis indicate that Bangladesh is yet to realize the demographic bonus. Currently, the country is suffering from higher youth unemployment, lower human capital development, shortage of skilled labour force, lower female labour force participation and fluctuating savings rate, all of which impedes the favorable impact of the demographic dividend on economic growth. The findings of this study depict a path for policymakers and stakeholders to prioritise to fully reap the benefits of the demographic dividend and achieve long-term socioeconomic development of the country.
利用人口红利:孟加拉国正朝着正确的方向前进吗?
摘要:人口红利通过增加一国的人均收入、储蓄和投资来促进一国的经济发展。近几十年来,孟加拉国与其他南亚国家一样,正在经历人口红利阶段,这可以促进该国社会经济的整体可持续发展。与相应的国家-à-vis青年劳动力相比,这一机会之窗对孟加拉国具有动态的比较优势。本文通过研究来自不同国家和国际来源的劳动力市场、储蓄率和人力资本数据,对孟加拉国的人口红利进行了情景分析。情境分析的结果表明,孟加拉国尚未实现人口红利。目前,该国面临青年失业率较高、人力资本开发水平较低、熟练劳动力短缺、女性劳动力参与率较低以及储蓄率波动等问题,这些都阻碍了人口红利对经济增长的有利影响。本研究的结果为政策制定者和利益相关者描绘了一条优先考虑充分享受人口红利和实现国家长期社会经济发展的道路。
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来源期刊
Population Review
Population Review DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: Population Review publishes scholarly research that covers a broad range of social science disciplines, including demography, sociology, social anthropology, socioenvironmental science, communication, and political science. The journal emphasizes empirical research and strives to advance knowledge on the interrelationships between demography and sociology. The editor welcomes submissions that combine theory with solid empirical research. Articles that are of general interest to population specialists are also desired. International in scope, the journal’s focus is not limited by geography. Submissions are encouraged from scholars in both the developing and developed world. Population Review publishes original articles and book reviews. Content is published online immediately after acceptance.
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