Systematic Distortion Factor and Unrecognized Source of Uncertainties in Nuclear Data Measurements and Evaluations

Abstract

Each experiment provides new information about the value of some physical quantity. However, not only measured values but also the uncertainties assigned to them are an important part of the results. The metrological guides provide recommendations for the presentation of the uncertainties of the measurement results: statistics and systematic components of the uncertainties should be explained, estimated, and presented separately as the results of the measurements. The experimental set-ups, the models of experiments for the derivation of physical values from primary measured quantities, are the product of human activity, making it a rather subjective field. The Systematic Distortion Factor (SDF) may exist in any experiment. It leads to the bias of the measured value from an unknown “true” value. The SDF appears as a real physical effect if it is not removed with additional measurements or analysis. For a set of measured data with the best evaluated true value, their differences beyond their uncertainties can be explained by the presence of Unrecognized Source of Uncertainties (USU) in these data. We can link the presence of USU in the data with the presence of SDF in the results of measurements. The paper demonstrates the existence of SDF in Prompt Fission Neutron Spectra (PFNS) measurements, measurements of fission cross sections, and measurements of Maxwellian spectrum averaged neutron capture cross sections for astrophysical applications. The paper discusses introducing and accounting for the USU in the data evaluation in cases when SDF cannot be eliminated. As an example, the model case of 238U(n,f)/235U(n,f) cross section ratio evaluation is demonstrated.