COSTLY-DEFENSE SYSTEMS VERSUS PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS: THE CASE OF SINGAPORE’S 1st GENERATION MILITARY BUILD-UP (THE 1960s-1980s)

Wirawan Hanindito Wicaksono, Ruslan Arief
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Abstract

Choosing a costly defense over an economically productive investment is always a nightmare for national policymakers. Despite the dilemma, Singapore came up as an anomaly with its decision in investing a remarkable amount of defense budget, reaching 4.5% of its GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and ranging around 15-30% of its annual government spending and still succeeding in developing its economy, while some do not. Therefore, drawing from what happened in the early period of Singapore’s independence, this study aims to figure out how the country justified its decision to choose a costly defense investment over a productive investment during this period and how the Singapore government decided to spend almost 40% of its annual budget on defense. Through historical analysis and literature studies, this study finds that the decision to choose a costly defense investment over an economically productive investment is justifiable under specific circumstances: first, when a nation deals with threats that would cost the nation future and survivability; second, the ability to implement the policy effectively and efficiently; third, is the ability to set how much is enough, the top limit of defense investment; and fourth, the existence of potential economic benefits. 
昂贵的防御系统与生产性投资:新加坡第一代军事建设的案例(1960 -1980年代)
对于国家政策制定者来说,选择昂贵的防御而不是经济上富有成效的投资一直是一场噩梦。尽管面临困境,但新加坡决定投入大量国防预算,达到其国内生产总值(GDP)的4.5%,约占其年度政府支出的15-30%,并且仍然成功地发展了经济,而有些国家则没有。因此,从新加坡独立初期发生的事情中,本研究旨在弄清楚新加坡在这一时期如何证明其选择昂贵的国防投资而不是生产性投资的决定是合理的,以及新加坡政府如何决定将其年度预算的近40%用于国防。通过历史分析和文献研究,本研究发现,在特定情况下,选择昂贵的国防投资而不是经济生产性投资的决定是合理的:首先,当一个国家应对威胁时,这将使国家的未来和生存能力付出代价;二是有效、高效执行政策的能力;三是能否设定多少才够,国防投入的最高限额;第四,潜在经济效益的存在。
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