Assessment of financial system and economic growth: An empirical evidence from Ghanas stock market

Kofi Asiamah Samuel
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Abstract

The importance of a country’s financial system to its economic well-being cannot be underestimated. This paper seeks to investigate whether causation exists between Ghana’s financial system and economic growth. Ghana’s financial system was measured using the efficiency, depth, and stability of the stock market, while economic growth was measured as the Gross Domestic Growth (GDP) per capita growth. The measurement variables were purposively sampled from 2008 to 2020, spanning thirteen years of time series data. The granger causality approach was employed to test the financial system’s and economic growth’s causation. In analysis the data, the study employed the Augmented Fuller Dickey (ADF) and Phillip Perron (PP) to test the stationarity of the series, the Jerque Bera Variable to test the normality of the data and the VAR and Johansen cointegration to test the order of integration among the variables. The statistical test revealed that the variables were not cointegrated at level; there was a unit root in the series. There was no long or short run relationship among the variables. Furthermore, the regressors’ depth, efficiency, and stability of the stock market as proxies for the financial system of Ghana do not cause economic growth. It is recommended that regulatory bodies should pursue policies that would improve the effectiveness, efficiency, depth, and stability of other aspects of the country’s financial system and focus less on the stock market due to the discovered relationship between the stock market and economic growth.
金融体系评估与经济增长:来自加纳股市的实证证据
一个国家的金融体系对其经济福祉的重要性不容低估。本文旨在探讨加纳金融体系与经济增长之间是否存在因果关系。加纳的金融体系是用股票市场的效率、深度和稳定性来衡量的,而经济增长是用人均国内生产总值(GDP)来衡量的。测量变量有目的地从2008年到2020年取样,跨越13年的时间序列数据。采用格兰杰因果关系方法检验金融体系与经济增长的因果关系。在数据分析中,采用Augmented Fuller Dickey (ADF)和Phillip Perron (PP)检验序列的平稳性,Jerque Bera变量检验数据的正态性,VAR和Johansen协整检验变量之间的整合顺序。统计检验表明,各变量在水平上不协整;级数中有一个单位根。各变量之间不存在长期或短期的关系。此外,股票市场的深度、效率和稳定性作为加纳金融体系的代理并不会导致经济增长。建议监管机构应采取政策,提高国家金融体系其他方面的有效性、效率、深度和稳定性,并减少对股市的关注,因为已经发现了股市与经济增长之间的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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