Maintenance Scheduling Algorithm for Transformers in Tanzania Electrical Secondary Distribution Networks

Hadija Mbembati, Kwame Ibwe, B. Maiseli
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Abstract

The drive by the government of Tanzania to electrify every village has resulted into expansion of the electrical secondary distribution networks (ESDNs). Therefore, maintenance management is of the highest priority for the smooth operation of the ESDNs to reduce unscheduled downtime and unexpected mechanical failures. Studies show that condition-based predictive maintenance (CBPdM) method allows the utility company to monitor, analyze and process the information obtained from ESDNs transformers. Thus, this study adopts the CBPdM method to develop a maintenance scheduling algorithm that can predict the transformer state, forecast maintenance time based on transformer load profile and schedule its maintenance using a knowledge-based system (KBS). Applying the challenge driven education approach, the requirements for developing an algorithm were established through an extensive literature survey and engagement of the key stakeholders from the Tanzania utility company. Our study uses the Dissolved Gas Analysis tool to collect the transformer parameters used in algorithm design. The parameter analysis was performed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences software. Results show that the designed KBS algorithm minimizes human-related maintenance errors and lowers labour costs as the system makes all the maintenance decisions. Specifically, the proposed maintenance scheduling algorithm reduces downtime maintenance costs by 1.45 times relative to the classical inspection-based maintenance model while significantly saving the maintenance costs. Keywords: Electrical power network, Forecasted load consumption, Knowledge-Based System, Maintenance Scheduling, Predictive Maintenance, Secondary Distribution
坦桑尼亚二次配电网变压器维修调度算法
坦桑尼亚政府为每个村庄通电的努力导致了二次配电网络(esdn)的扩大。因此,维护管理是esdn顺利运行的重中之重,以减少计划外停机时间和意外机械故障。研究表明,基于状态的预测性维护(CBPdM)方法允许公用事业公司监控、分析和处理从esdn变压器获得的信息。因此,本研究采用CBPdM方法开发了一种维护调度算法,该算法可以预测变压器的状态,根据变压器的负荷曲线预测维护时间,并使用基于知识的系统(KBS)进行维护调度。采用挑战驱动的教育方法,通过广泛的文献调查和坦桑尼亚公用事业公司主要利益相关者的参与,确定了开发算法的要求。我们的研究使用溶解气体分析工具来收集算法设计中使用的变压器参数。采用Statistical Package for Social Sciences软件进行参数分析。结果表明,所设计的KBS算法最大限度地减少了与人为相关的维护错误,并降低了人工成本,因为系统做出了所有的维护决策。具体而言,与传统的基于检查的维护模型相比,该算法将停机维护成本降低了1.45倍,同时显著节省了维护成本。关键词:电力网络,负荷预测,基于知识的系统,维护计划,预测性维护,二次配电
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