Restructuring and Forgiveness in Financial Crises C: The Swedish Banking Crisis of 1990-1994

C. McNamara, Lars H. Thunell, Andrew Metrick
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Abstract

In the Spring of 1992 the Swedish government faced a dilemma. The country was in the midst of an economic downturn stemming from the collapse of asset prices (especially in real estate) that had spiked as a result of a credit boom that followed the deregulation of the Swedish banking system in the mid-1980s. Initially the impact of the downturn on the country’s banks had seemed to be limited to a small number of specific firms that the government moved to assist on an ad hoc basis in 1991. However, evidence was mounting that the banking crisis was reaching a systemic level. Guided by such principles as the need for broad political consensus, prompt action, transparency, and the imposition of strict conditions including shareholder losses in exchange for support, the Swedish government crafted a response centered around a blanket guarantee of all bank liabilities, an immediate recognition of all bank losses, support for banks that was based on each bank’s specific financial condition and prospects, and the use of asset management companies to resolve the troubled assets of struggling banks. This approach, coupled with an improving economy, helped restore the Swedish banking system to profitability by 1995. While the fact that the Swedish banking sector of the early 1990s was much less complex than most major financial systems today cautions against drawing any firm conclusion about the appropriateness of deploying specific Swedish policy responses in new crises, the various principles that guided the Swedish response could well be of interest in addressing future systemic events.
金融危机中的重组与宽恕——1990-1994年瑞典银行业危机研究
1992年春天,瑞典政府面临着两难的境地。当时瑞典正处于经济衰退之中,资产价格(尤其是房地产)的崩溃是上世纪80年代中期瑞典银行体系放松管制后信贷繁荣的结果。最初,经济衰退对该国银行的影响似乎仅限于政府在1991年特别援助的少数特定公司。然而,越来越多的证据表明,银行业危机正达到系统性水平。在需要广泛的政治共识、迅速行动、透明度和实施严格的条件(包括股东损失作为支持的交换条件)等原则的指导下,瑞典政府制定了一项应对措施,其核心是全面担保所有银行负债、立即承认所有银行损失、根据每家银行的具体财务状况和前景对银行提供支持。以及利用资产管理公司来解决陷入困境的银行的问题资产。这种方法,加上经济的改善,帮助瑞典银行体系在1995年恢复了盈利能力。尽管上世纪90年代初瑞典银行业远没有今天大多数主要金融体系那么复杂,但这一事实提醒我们,不要对在新危机中部署具体的瑞典政策应对措施的适当性得出任何明确的结论,指导瑞典应对措施的各种原则可能对解决未来的系统性事件很有意义。
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