Does talk matter after all? Inflation targeting and central bank behavior

Kenneth N. Kuttner, A. Posen
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引用次数: 158

Abstract

Since 1990, a number of countries have adopted inflation targeting as their declared monetary strategy. Interpretations of the significance of this movement, however, have differed widely. To some, inflation targeting mandates the single-minded, rule-like pursuit of price stability without regard for other policy objectives; to others, inflation targeting represents nothing more than the latest version of cheap talk by central banks unable to sustain monetary commitments. Advocates of inflation targeting, including the adopting central banks themselves, have expressed the view that the transparency and communication of the inflation targeting framework grant the central bank greater short-run flexibility in pursuit of its long-run inflation goal.
谈话到底重要吗?通胀目标制与央行行为
自1990年以来,一些国家已将通货膨胀目标制作为其公开的货币战略。然而,对这一运动意义的解释却大相径庭。对一些人来说,通胀目标制要求他们一心一意、按规则追求价格稳定,而不考虑其他政策目标;对其他人来说,通胀目标制只不过是无力维持货币承诺的央行最新版本的廉价言论。通胀目标制的支持者,包括采用通胀目标制的央行自己,都表示,通胀目标制框架的透明度和沟通,赋予了央行在追求长期通胀目标时更大的短期灵活性。
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