Research on Banking Crisis Contagion Dynamics Based on the Complex Network of System Engineering

Cao Huaihu, Zhu Jianming
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

For the banking crisis contagion problem on the Financial Engineering, a crisis contagion dynamic model is proposed for the banking network based on the Complex Network of latest System Engineering theory. The model combines the contagion process of risk, the network structural features and the behavior characteristics of banking crisis. Contagion dynamics simulation and analysis are made for this model, and a conclusion is draw that the ultimate number of the immune state banks in the crisis banking network depends on contagion probability and network structure. Finally, we discuss that the role of contagion threshold value for the immune strategy for crisis contagion in the banking network, which are important for control the extent of crisis contagion.

基于系统工程复杂网络的银行危机传染动力学研究
针对金融工程中的银行危机传染问题,基于最新系统工程理论的复杂网络,提出了银行网络的危机传染动态模型。该模型结合了风险的传染过程、网络结构特征和银行危机的行为特征。对该模型进行了传染动力学仿真和分析,得出危机银行网络中免疫状态银行的最终数量取决于传染概率和网络结构的结论。最后,我们讨论了传染阈值在银行网络危机传染免疫策略中的作用,这对于控制危机传染的程度具有重要意义。
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