Infrastructure and Economic Growth of Tanzania

G. Kahyarara
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Abstract

This paper examines the correlation between infrastructure and economic growth rate in Tanzania. In particular it uses time series data from 1990 till 2017 on time series models that use infrastructure variables among the explanatory variables. Correction Model (VECM) is involved to examine for the presence of a long-term association in the equation only. Findings show that all variables are integrated of order I(1),and the model are within one or common trend. Further results are that the economic growth rate un-directionally granger causes the infrastructure variables in our model. The long term estimation of the impact of infrastructure on economic growth rate show a 100 percent increase in infrastructure of road coverage raises economic growth by 22.8. Further results show a 100 a percent increase telephone coverage is associated with 17 percent increase in economic growth. In the same way change in railway network corresponds to 13 percent increase in the rate of economic growth. Finally Port handling improvement corresponds to 20 percent increase in economic growth. The paper concludes that infrastructure investment has significant effect on economic growth rates and should strategically be linked within the economic growth objectives.
坦桑尼亚的基础设施和经济增长
本文考察了坦桑尼亚基础设施与经济增长率之间的关系。特别是,它使用1990年至2017年的时间序列数据,在解释变量中使用基础设施变量的时间序列模型。校正模型(VECM)仅用于检查方程中是否存在长期关联。结果表明,所有变量都是I(1)阶的积分,模型在一个或共同的趋势内。进一步的结果表明,经济增长率对模型中的基础设施变量具有非定向格兰杰作用。基础设施对经济增长率影响的长期估计表明,道路基础设施覆盖率增加100%,经济增长率将提高22.8%。进一步的研究结果表明,电话覆盖率增加100%与经济增长率增加17%相关。同样,铁路网的变化对应着经济增长率13%的增长。最后,港口处理的改善与经济增长20%的增长相对应。本文认为,基础设施投资对经济增长率有显著影响,应在战略上与经济增长目标联系起来。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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