on Correlation between RMB Exchange Rate and Real Estate Price based on Financial Engineering

LIU Yang , HU Zhiqiang
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引用次数: 13

Abstract

In the post-crisis age, the continued appreciation of RMB and raise of housing price, and the positive correlation between them caused great attention from the public. This paper examines the relationship between RMB real effective exchange rate and real estate price by VAR test by using the monthly data from Jan, 2007 to Dec, 2010. The empirical result shows in the short run, raise of housing price will cause the depression of RMB exchange rate, however, in the long run, real estate has a positive impact on RMB exchange rate, therefore based on current financial engineering background, it is important for China to control the real estate price in order to maintain gradually and slightly appreciation of RMB.

基于金融工程的人民币汇率与房地产价格相关性研究
在后危机时代,人民币的持续升值和房价的上涨,以及两者之间的正相关关系引起了公众的高度关注。本文利用2007年1月至2010年12月的月度数据,运用VAR检验了人民币实际有效汇率与房地产价格之间的关系。实证结果表明,在短期内,房价的上涨会导致人民币汇率的低迷,但从长期来看,房地产对人民币汇率有积极的影响,因此,基于当前的金融工程背景,中国控制房地产价格以保持人民币的逐步小幅升值是重要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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